TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,409

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,063 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Under53c53,151$28,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,869.941,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c28,985$13,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,241.719,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over46c16,134$7,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,458.792,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Under54c15,000$8,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,899.9920352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under54c11,315$6,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,204.9234654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Under51c10,912$5,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,385.1310239.2%40 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over46c10,309$4,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,758.763,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Under57c7,019$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,018.663884.2%32 W · 6 L+10.8wins+0.29per pick56cpaid+59.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over46c6,522$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00029347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over50c6,318$3,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,175.323,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c6,140$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.915,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69a7…ebe6backed Over46c6,003$2,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,761.38520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe161…3d66backed Over46c5,223$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over51c5,036$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.383039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under55c4,884$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,197.7858449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb867…983fbacked Over46c3,391$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over47c3,159$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.7358347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c3,092$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.482,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b98…38a5backed Under54c2,993$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over46c2,304$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.842,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under54c2,189$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.4566853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under54c2,126$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.11,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x770e…7f18backed Under54c2,099$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe296…6f34backed Under54c2,011$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84e9…0270backed Under54c2,003$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.38520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9651…d897backed Under54c1,998$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61cf…9c90backed Under54c1,877$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over47c1,846$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.91,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over46c1,723$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.742,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42ef…58e4backed Under54c1,636$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78016550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over46c979$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.342,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over46c960.98$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.052,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe952…bde4backed Over66c888$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.483461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under50c860$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.462,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over46c832.84$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.1151146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bdf…db9dbacked Over46c819$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over46c809.2$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.2348347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c752$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.924,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Under55c726.99$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.978961.8%55 W · 34 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29461740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2882142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28821858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Over44c561.3$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.978158%47 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Over47c547$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.569850%49 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over31c542.28$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.131,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c536.54$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.394,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca0c…9c40backed Under52c536.28$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.874040%16 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Over47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb252…56febacked Over74c494.31$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.72254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over46c484.78$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2232,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over44c481.54$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8811942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over47c478.56$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.622,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over45c409$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.051,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c404.85$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.172,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over46c400$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18284150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Over46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18416053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over47c395.87$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.773,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc3…ee32backed Over47c375.62$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.54540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over46c363.63$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7340146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over47c320$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.434451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over46c315.22$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14562347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Under50c308.56$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2823250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under52c294.88$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.81,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Over45c290.44$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.74037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over46c282.61$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Over46c255.18$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3814742.2%62 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b3…6785backed Over76c247.43$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.73850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6a…86bbbacked Under51c246.44$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.082339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under54c243.15$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8580653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c216.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9280744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410255.9%57 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Over45c200$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899053.3%48 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e8…bd0cbacked Under50c196.2$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.478652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over46c186.8$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.132,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over50c171$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.554351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under54c164.91$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8568940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fc0…b72dbacked Under60c160.3$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-49.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.21,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over47c159.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7526956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Over46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6964139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Under71c130$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.78156.8%46 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe57d…1f6bbacked Over47c122.84$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over45c122.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-41.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over47c111$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1723153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.716036.3%58 W · 102 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.995548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4916547.3%78 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4787647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ea…165fbacked Over47c95.62$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-56.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba87…bc76backed Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.297047.1%33 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.