TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Cremonese vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$236,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$266,500

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,467 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38fa…55eabacked Yes43c60,424$25,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,425.71425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4e3…4cc6backed No0c31,840$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No67c25,410$16,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,944.7993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c13,503$6,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,478.122,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No67c13,062$8,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,745.1952748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked No68c9,474$6,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,442.481631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes44c9,298$4,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,212.9296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes32c7,500$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10021058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed No68c6,441$4,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3801747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes33c6,061$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,060.61650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c3,999$2,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,681.2498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No78c2,173$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.9322373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes62c2,068$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.1734643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes32c2,053$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.134030%12 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes34c2,033$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.553759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes67c1,940$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.31369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked No59c1,625$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.751947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes70c1,499$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.712560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed No47c1,378$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.194070%28 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes22c1,163$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.0646742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No68c1,096$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.4322947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes26c1,088$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.927231.9%23 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No21c999.99$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21515450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes33c999.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.9924939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No67c971.98$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.053158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9f3…48b6backed No67c958$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes59c943.94$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.264959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0192…6995backed No28c873.24$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.981154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No31c854.61$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.751,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No68c830.99$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.076437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Yes22c796.09$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.951060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes74c783.97$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.514936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes33c718$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.0614142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaf3…41b5backed No68c699.95$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes65c689.98$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.4911667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No33c577.32$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3522743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes34c527.29$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.018744.8%39 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes32c527$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.3639740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No22c472.81$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.023026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb09c…05babacked No67c470.97$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c455$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.5848144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc609…7b6fbacked No67c450$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.530%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes64c443.05$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No53c419.06$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.14337.2%16 W · 27 L+7.4wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+285.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes33c403.03$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.037830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No36c371.44$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0324849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x246d…21e9backed No68c369.12$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes40c324.91$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.657025.7%18 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes32c303.44$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.344825%12 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20113152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed No34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No67c275.92$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.8335646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes78c275.32$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.866439.1%25 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa40f…2fa3backed Yes32c271.88$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.882568%17 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes33c268.48$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.882450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked No67c263.79$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.742040%8 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8723…4c06backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick63cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No45c209.72$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.12626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Yes42c204.76$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.762352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No28c202.58$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4416819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13415459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes33c197.87$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.877237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No28c197.44$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7212929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5bb…f345backed Yes43c192.51$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Yes33c181.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8210242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes33c169$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2319652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c168.09$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2cc1…b159backed Yes69c163.7$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.961241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes33c162.6$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.94944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2913658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6977…e8d1backed Yes55c156.87$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+76.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.259953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a79…0f72backed Yes68c152.21$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.521747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked No34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes32c141.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.454647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No38c131.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9731958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes49c126$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0618858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Yes32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No67c120$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.411551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No68c114$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8c…666abacked Yes33c109$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+148.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b86…7899backed Yes45c106.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked No27c105.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.821631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-48.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2db…be15backed Yes34c104$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No68c103.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0441943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes33c101.3$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.873745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Yes11c100$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Yes11c100$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891833.3%6 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+202.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No65c99.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9915357.5%88 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked No28c98.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2da4…2b9cbacked Yes60c96.97$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.791662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed No27c92.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257848.7%38 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9115755.4%87 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ee…1943backed No39c89.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e91…ffdfbacked Yes33c86.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.99540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No69c77.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.84163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.