TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,122 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2727…eef4backed Yes19c8,732$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.532924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c7,483$5,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.472,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes29c5,321$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.0240447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c4,480$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.6398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c4,004$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.2968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87045547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes7c2,750$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.681,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes30c2,468$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.389350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked No70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6007100%7 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No71c1,650$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.58463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed No70c1,249$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.611681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+117.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes37c1,172$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.5846742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes71c1,167$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.8722373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No70c1,036$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.848144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes29c1,033$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.5737250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9317…75d9backed Yes7c980$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick7cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No63c758.6$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.914959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bab…cf38backed No70c744.76$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No35c725$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.4220431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes31c719.35$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22313137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed No71c710$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.95563.6%35 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes8c700.75$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3859240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked No70c699.98$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.991070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No73c666$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.8211964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xbc4b…7b6fbacked No70c621.79$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.541258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes26c617.53$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4715635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2e80…787bbacked Yes31c610.84$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18013040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0192…6995backed Yes36c524.34$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.371154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5bb…f345backed Yes30c511.84$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes14c446.88$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3212929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes30c438.79$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3722947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Yes28c394.67$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.511850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes30c373.5$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.051747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+23.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked No69c364.34$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.942369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No72c359.77$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.397025.7%18 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No71c349.2$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.717529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked No71c309.86$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8610259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2db…be15backed No72c307$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9026046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9bf…baecbacked Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked No10c300$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2691833.3%6 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+202.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed No69c292.4$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.643033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes28c288.55$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7935646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed No70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.714264.3%27 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed No72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.783476.5%26 W · 8 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No71c263.03$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2146047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes31c260.07$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes31c241.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes8c221.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4728931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes10c220$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-81.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked No71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.279653.1%51 W · 45 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6021445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2298…ac49backed Yes13c187.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.313225%8 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked No70c167.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.411666.4%77 W · 39 L+14.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes30c163.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.210038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.56043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58bc…1fdbbacked No10c150$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+383.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb42a…0156backed Yes20c147.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes30c146.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4433951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes31c145.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8613366.2%88 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb58a…ca54backed No71c141.69$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.09366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef65…f32fbacked No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacbc…e374backed No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39f4…3c57backed Yes24c132.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7bf…7758backed No70c127.44$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.231573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No72c126.87$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.096266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No70c125$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes31c112.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512134.7%42 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dbf…6631backed Yes20c111.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.11040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked No70c107.14$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.145170.6%36 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x98be…51d9backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288444%37 W · 47 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked No11c100$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes25c99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4918858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes31c93.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0710451%53 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No75c93.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.337568%51 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92aa…f5afbacked Yes31c89.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3368…f2eabacked No70c81.1$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No79c78.39$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7822743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Yes29c77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.336246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes18c75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3515141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbb…a8c2backed No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.423259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes28c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.619549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c1…6038backed No70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5194…198ebacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aea…eff2backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No71c63.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5516448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No71c62.4$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.148659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No60c57.35$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.953026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2879…1504backed Yes21c53.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74cf…8833backed No70c52.08$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.