TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$585,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$640,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $585,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed No62c124,751$77,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,145.059350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes39c67,704$26,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,144.263164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xae9a…7ceabacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No61c50,000$30,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,499.996347.6%30 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes39c40,000$15,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,6004351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes38c30,090$11,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,434.14254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed No64c20,566$13,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,488.18955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes34c19,570$6,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,585.4396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes39c19,128$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5007337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Yes37c19,104$7,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,068.481631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc4e3…4cc6backed Yes0c18,050$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…55eabacked Yes27c15,000$4,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,043.61425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed No63c12,698$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,698.41425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No62c11,111$6,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,222.182347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes38c10,424$3,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,960.9848144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes38c7,237$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,750812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed No61c7,038$4,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.471050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes39c7,000$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7309952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes39c6,500$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.996046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes14c6,303$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.1320431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No63c6,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2205550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes12c5,686$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.9593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes38c5,282$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b75…698bbacked No62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes21c4,781$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.381,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No61c4,520$2,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.632839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No60c4,115$2,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.024247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes38c3,904$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.5227737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes37c3,591$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.6168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked No63c3,200$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1841435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No61c3,184$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.7840447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1404658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.9937250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No62c2,254$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.7922947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes37c2,200$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8147248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes36c2,043$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.4833357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x291b…2667backed No62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.993271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.984860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c1,960$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.432,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No61c1,937$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.3817543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes37c1,754$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.988463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes10c1,513$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.98244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-81.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed No61c1,400$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5462138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes34c1,388$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.9211964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No71c1,369$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.4934643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes38c1,356$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.366428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005250%26 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes27c1,283$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.5659240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes38c1,237$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.0435646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes18c1,226$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.3422743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88fb…e517backed Yes38c1,184$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked No64c1,181$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.255100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes37c1,143$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4234030%12 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3805064%32 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3907255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39022237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No63c999.96$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9812049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes39c888.46$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.55655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Yes38c817.13$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.512454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes37c800$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.872433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes5c752.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7724238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes27c670.37$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1817954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No63c650$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.55530.9%17 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb856…8fb6backed Yes5c627.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes12c594.52$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2316819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed No63c563.48$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.222250%11 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes38c563.29$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.0546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked No62c551.81$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.69837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-45.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes36c502$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.2118858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1904557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4daa…6920backed Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20020143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x035f…b2ccbacked Yes40c482.83$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.13966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed No63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.191060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Yes36c468.43$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.851936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e3d…cdc2backed No64c460.97$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d0…6078backed No61c450$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No71c421.89$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.395752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes38c421.05$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Yes7c420$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.42934.5%10 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Yes37c405.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes38c401.02$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.567025.7%18 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e91…3e2abacked No64c400.72$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16023353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed No64c390.62$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6de…12f7backed Yes4c382.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes39c338.51$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.023141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed No61c333$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.871060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes37c300.01$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2526046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…c6e2backed Yes36c300$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb42a…0156backed Yes22c286.23$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.18825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes35c285.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes37c270$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes37c268$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1141943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Yes39c268$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.524151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes38c267.11$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.52450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.