NBA · resolved market
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6ea801f468ac357fa3c32d2ceeeb863a0fcb0e44ef66082558c69fb803116c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,020,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,083,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,020,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,056 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 47c | 62,328$29,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,104.57 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 23c | 49,993$11,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,338.34 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc857…9e70backed Yes | 53c | 28,434$14,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,459.49 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…e458backed No | 35c | 28,185$9,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,980.13 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 25c | 27,228$6,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,772.61 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 11c | 24,828$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.47 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Yes | 54c | 22,000$11,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,119.94 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 74c | 14,670$10,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792.21 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 55c | 14,484$7,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,517.75 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…a9f2backed Yes | 48c | 12,536$6,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,518.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 80c | 11,595$9,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.08 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 44c | 11,325$5,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,006.04 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 36c | 10,409$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.5 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 15c | 10,109$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.37 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed No | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.98 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 50c | 9,894$4,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,931.96 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9ea5backed No | 44c | 9,294$4,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,119.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…15d7backed Yes | 60c | 9,043$5,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,617.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…57acbacked No | 1c | 9,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…f6d9backed Yes | 60c | 8,716$5,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 52c | 8,072$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,893.13 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10bf…c877backed Yes | 52c | 7,736$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,735.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Yes | 40c | 7,581$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,580.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…09c4backed Yes | 57c | 7,281$4,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.04 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…4da2backed Yes | 57c | 6,554$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…965abacked No | 49c | 6,130$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.1 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…b227backed Yes | 56c | 5,978$3,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.98 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Yes | 50c | 5,806$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.91 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Yes | 59c | 5,608$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed No | 1c | 5,561$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…44fabacked Yes | 74c | 5,500$4,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 51c | 5,413$2,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,766.79 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…558abacked Yes | 78c | 5,264$4,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38b…d9f2backed Yes | 54c | 5,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked No | 25c | 5,000$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.92 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed No | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked No | 70c | 4,970$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,501.63 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 42c | 4,622$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.69 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 62c | 4,458$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.93 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 69c | 4,353$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c19…e131backed Yes | 54c | 4,248$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked No | 28c | 4,185$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +57%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 33c | 4,143$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.24 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…a4babacked No | 0c | 4,122$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked No | 2c | 3,992$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.36 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 54c | 3,894$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4822…4fa7backed Yes | 41c | 3,880$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 25c | 3,605$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Yes | 31c | 3,569$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.16 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Yes | 78c | 3,334$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.21 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Yes | 54c | 3,325$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 56c | 3,234$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.4 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…0b32backed Yes | 66c | 3,166$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e7…9948backed No | 57c | 3,125$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…c555backed Yes | 52c | 3,049$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +146.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ac…9a83backed Yes | 34c | 2,949$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7720…da92backed No | 44c | 2,931$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.13 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…91dabacked No | 3c | 2,892$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 24c | 2,872$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.41 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…3130backed Yes | 51c | 2,688$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 49c | 2,688$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.69 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 57c | 2,579$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.38 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 49c | 2,576$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.98 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…aca1backed Yes | 49c | 2,501$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.29 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 49c | 2,456$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…469ebacked No | 47c | 2,416$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f9…af8bbacked Yes | 42c | 2,407$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed Yes | 63c | 2,350$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed Yes | 55c | 2,328$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.48 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes | 64c | 2,319$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.01 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…6838backed Yes | 41c | 2,307$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 79c | 2,254$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 56c | 2,200$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.3 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed No | 32c | 2,200$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.4 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b0…6a4cbacked No | 46c | 2,197$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 57c | 2,135$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.68 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked No | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.17 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebc…0da5backed No | 1c | 2,073$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 43c | 2,065$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.71 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e0…1acebacked Yes | 57c | 1,957$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.98 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 31c | 1,936$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.35 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 67c | 1,870$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed No | 44c | 1,852$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed Yes | 57c | 1,777$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed No | 36c | 1,728$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed No | 58c | 1,712$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 20c | 1,705$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.54 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…7448backed Yes | 25c | 1,702$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 53c | 1,632$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.33 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 26c | 1,627$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.01 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5743…8a28backed No | 23c | 1,615$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…95e2backed No | 51c | 1,612$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.12 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,591$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed No | 21c | 1,566$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.65 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff9…d1fbbacked Yes | 50c | 1,540$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 61c | 1,531$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 1,520$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.42 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfc…a5c2backed No | 44c | 1,520$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.45 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…232abacked Yes | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?this page
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Charlotte Hornets?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Chicago Bulls?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Cleveland Cavaliers?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Philadelphia 76ers?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Atlanta Hawks?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Detroit Pistons?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Houston Rockets?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Los Angeles Lakers?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Oklahoma City Thunder?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the San Antonio Spurs?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Toronto Raptors?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.