NBA · resolved market

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc566e7e1de6cf5802464b748687f3c43a62126496b208e519961c7cdd9ad0eed

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $394,979
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $386,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,979 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	8c	25,059$1,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,933.6	98	4.1%4 W · 94 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes	9c	19,972$1,764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,764.18	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed Yes	18c	19,784$3,656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,655.99	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95d…e8ecbacked Yes	1c	17,000$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Yes	8c	10,865$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830.32	57	28.1%16 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4efb…76a0backed Yes	1c	10,260$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.05	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes	7c	9,130$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.61	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7218…8b34backed Yes	10c	7,780$786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$786.35	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-4.8wins	-0.15per pick	56cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes	13c	5,345$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.05	138	35.5%49 W · 89 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7af5…8660backed Yes	29c	5,211$1,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,498.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8527…f12dbacked Yes	22c	4,000$868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$868	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed No	75c	4,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	79c	3,829$3,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$812.21	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	12c	3,363$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.34	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Yes	12c	3,131$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.42	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	+86.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes	6c	2,832$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.63	760	54.6%415 W · 345 L	+56.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	61c	2,568$1,563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,004.57	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8db9…7decbacked Yes	17c	2,320$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f4b…3963backed Yes	12c	2,119$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.95	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b6a…7ed2backed No	78c	2,020$1,582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.34	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4281…32acbacked No	78c	1,980$1,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.66	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0f5…d9d1backed Yes	42c	1,888$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.20per pick	40cpaid	+65.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	13c	1,817$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.01	79	5.1%4 W · 75 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes	16c	1,708$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.13	137	43.8%60 W · 77 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Yes	8c	1,500$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.34	200	57%114 W · 86 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef4c…22bebacked Yes	8c	1,500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6989…b412backed Yes	16c	1,455$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.73	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Yes	22c	1,448$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325	117	52.1%61 W · 56 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x574f…d38dbacked Yes	20c	1,427$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.3	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d83…1f8fbacked Yes	7c	1,419$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.33	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e0…1acebacked Yes	11c	1,400$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.96	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Yes	18c	1,395$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	233	42.9%100 W · 133 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes	11c	1,196$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.27	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…4da2backed Yes	12c	1,195$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.28	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	9c	1,072$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.45	306	16.7%51 W · 255 L	-36.5wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe468…3aeebacked Yes	13c	1,051$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4555…220cbacked Yes	10c	1,031$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	6c	1,004$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.98	394	35.3%139 W · 255 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee3…ea5cbacked Yes	13c	1,003$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2533…a9a0backed Yes	17c	1,000$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7720…da92backed Yes	10c	999.88$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.24	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-2.7wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x72a9…44d3backed Yes	9c	998.64$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.96	284	55.3%157 W · 127 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Yes	8c	997$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.71	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Yes	16c	990.85$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	241	47.7%115 W · 126 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes	33c	920.76$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	66	63.6%42 W · 24 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa748…2dc4backed Yes	15c	877.9$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf82a…d221backed Yes	5c	858.1$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.83	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0218…52c0backed Yes	8c	850.02$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.42	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…9a89backed Yes	6c	830.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe14…1a10backed Yes	20c	796.56$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.25	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x223a…7664backed Yes	7c	772.93$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.25	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+51.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a63…a4bcbacked Yes	20c	751$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78db…34e1backed Yes	14c	735.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe21…65e5backed Yes	7c	711.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	10c	695.04$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.3	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c19…e131backed Yes	15c	683.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	23cpaid	-84.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	12c	681.47$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.54	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes	37c	678.23$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.89	389	42.9%167 W · 222 L	-16.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41eb…da1dbacked Yes	15c	673.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b9…08b3backed Yes	15c	668.02$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	76	38.2%29 W · 47 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd6…5a97backed Yes	30c	666.4$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+75.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x907f…19b1backed Yes	14c	622.04$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.45	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	8c	613.47$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.13	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…b59cbacked Yes	12c	599.99$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.41	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5814…cb14backed Yes	5c	588.94$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.46	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Yes	17c	575.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	111	45%50 W · 61 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62a…a8efbacked Yes	17c	575.61$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	140	32.9%46 W · 94 L	-11.8wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	7c	573.83$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.02	608	34.4%209 W · 399 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10df…04a9backed Yes	8c	559.98$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.14	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+250.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbcd…49a5backed Yes	11c	548.35$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb5…36eebacked Yes	7c	534.41$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes	15c	499.99$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+49%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf25b…82d0backed Yes	6c	494.72$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.27	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Yes	23c	494.09$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	134	41%55 W · 79 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…658dbacked Yes	20c	468.86$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	10c	464.72$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.34	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes	7c	435$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	47	19.1%9 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96e9…4b32backed Yes	14c	429.31$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.26	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e03…0c3ebacked Yes	18c	426.88$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x086a…1435backed Yes	8c	422.36$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.22	63	19%12 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3214…63d6backed Yes	22c	420$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.3	83	31.3%26 W · 57 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d0b…e325backed Yes	12c	414.42$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-49%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes	5c	410.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd91…6262backed Yes	14c	405.08$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.46	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Yes	8c	402.07$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.99	548	53.8%295 W · 253 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe80f…b6b9backed Yes	15c	399.8$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes	7c	398.97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.84	135	36.3%49 W · 86 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78c7…856fbacked Yes	11c	392.24$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…2c0bbacked Yes	19c	390.56$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.37	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…3d3ebacked Yes	13c	386.94$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9dd…c0cdbacked Yes	13c	378$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.49	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c56…c18dbacked Yes	7c	375.78$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.95	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked Yes	11c	372$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	74	40.5%30 W · 44 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes	14c	369.82$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.68	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	8c	368.53$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.48	88	23.9%21 W · 67 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67f5…3ab8backed Yes	14c	355.94$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b28…e046backed Yes	6c	351.93$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	18cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3722…1f0abacked Yes	29c	346.86$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.66	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes	13c	338.2$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.72	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes	13c	337.67$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.34	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?this page
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Charlotte Hornets?No won
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Chicago Bulls?No won
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Cleveland Cavaliers?No won
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?No won
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Philadelphia 76ers?No won
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Atlanta Hawks?No won
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Detroit Pistons?No won
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?No won
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Houston Rockets?No won
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Los Angeles Lakers?No won
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?No won
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Oklahoma City Thunder?No won
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the San Antonio Spurs?No won
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Toronto Raptors?No won
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event