NBA · resolved market
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e07f5f958e003954f6e16d27532acdf820d8a874a0ec16b127a9ef923ccd944
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $365,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $331,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 9c | 22,259$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.14 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Yes | 9c | 16,754$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.68 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 9c | 7,823$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 7c | 5,490$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.48 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 1c | 5,300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 11c | 4,061$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.49 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 10c | 4,045$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.86 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 14c | 3,725$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.53 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1d…13d1backed Yes | 14c | 3,602$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 3,247$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.34 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0d…d1f2backed Yes | 0c | 3,053$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f1…04e9backed Yes | 18c | 2,972$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…4a0ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,965$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.49 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Yes | 12c | 2,964$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.81 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2258…4544backed Yes | 18c | 2,830$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd6…13dfbacked Yes | 11c | 2,788$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b0…6a4cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,487$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…eee5backed Yes | 2c | 2,484$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 18c | 2,343$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.05 | 79 | 5.1%4 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 78c | 2,294$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 16c | 2,248$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.63 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Yes | 16c | 2,040$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.13 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,025$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.61 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…d972backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221c…ed4abacked Yes | 11c | 1,994$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…399cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,963$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.9 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…558abacked Yes | 20c | 1,824$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Yes | 17c | 1,813$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.14 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7551…b6b1backed Yes | 38c | 1,750$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 1,722$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.01 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes | 10c | 1,697$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 102 | 23.5%24 W · 78 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…2dcfbacked Yes | 18c | 1,690$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,663$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed Yes | 22c | 1,535$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.56 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c19…e131backed Yes | 20c | 1,502$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,491$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.01 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…2479backed Yes | 29c | 1,447$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 8c | 1,441$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.21 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Yes | 15c | 1,320$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.33 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 14c | 1,307$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Yes | 1c | 1,259$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…13d9backed Yes | 3c | 1,254$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bb…8212backed Yes | 16c | 1,231$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 1,199$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 8c | 1,172$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,138$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…b61fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,136$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13df…a764backed Yes | 1c | 1,095$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 15c | 1,085$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.24 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…da1dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Yes | 10c | 1,029$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,010$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 12c | 987.92$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Yes | 31c | 972.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Yes | 10c | 953$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…5ce0backed No | 76c | 936.22$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa748…2dc4backed Yes | 25c | 909.86$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes | 17c | 903.84$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.31 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…31ccbacked Yes | 16c | 902.91$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…cb14backed Yes | 17c | 826.03$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.12 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 9c | 762.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…04b2backed Yes | 13c | 749.58$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 79c | 738.16$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b28…e046backed Yes | 3c | 728.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Yes | 18c | 709.78$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.66 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 76c | 699.85$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.98 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…b566backed Yes | 29c | 678.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9292…2cd1backed Yes | 14c | 677.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Yes | 6c | 668.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f4…2bd8backed Yes | 7c | 657.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…52cebacked Yes | 12c | 634.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 76c | 620.25$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.47 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 6c | 600$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Yes | 18c | 600$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 9c | 562.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe656…448abacked Yes | 9c | 540.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…403ebacked Yes | 10c | 531.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6b…4fa8backed Yes | 21c | 515.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…2925backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…8330backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 499.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Yes | 22c | 499.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 13c | 499.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4252…4a6ebacked Yes | 28c | 491.58$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…c852backed Yes | 8c | 481.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…bf79backed Yes | 11c | 463.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf667…93c6backed Yes | 22c | 454.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…39f9backed Yes | 22c | 445.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…539abacked Yes | 9c | 443.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 23c | 435.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Yes | 9c | 433.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed Yes | 12c | 429.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9373…67b6backed Yes | 23c | 422.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8d…da9dbacked Yes | 9c | 405.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 126 | 29.4%37 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…b2ffbacked Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 74c | 383.04$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.34 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…22f3backed Yes | 27c | 375.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 74c | 367.19$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…a48ebacked Yes | 28c | 362.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 245 | 53.9%132 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?this page
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Charlotte Hornets?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Chicago Bulls?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Cleveland Cavaliers?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Philadelphia 76ers?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Atlanta Hawks?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Detroit Pistons?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Houston Rockets?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Los Angeles Lakers?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Oklahoma City Thunder?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the San Antonio Spurs?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Toronto Raptors?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.