TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf779…13d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Weather, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Weather at 50 out of 100; worst Serie A at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-90.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$36.6
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Charlotte Hornets?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Chicago Bulls?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$34.63
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$49.62
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Toronto Raptors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$54.78
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Kevin Huerter: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kevin Huerter: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kevin Huerter: Points O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Jalen Smith: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$43.71
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$62.31
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+100%+$73
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Will J.D. Vance attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will SS Lazio vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Volkanovski win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.