TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Mavericks, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,947,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,026,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,947,731 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 765 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Mavericks21c448,050$95,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,999.6421057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Mavericks22c142,919$30,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,912.9940446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Mavericks20c126,423$25,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,284.6151844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Rockets79c121,658$95,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,130.3819560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rockets79c104,119$82,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,489.222,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets79c86,725$68,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,833.234,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets79c70,159$55,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,726.141,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Rockets78c50,000$39,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,999.9923257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks7c45,998$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,186.371,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets79c43,710$34,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,298.049,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks9c37,080$3,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,326.871,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2917…be8fbacked Mavericks13c32,006$4,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,160.742330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-56%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Rockets80c31,018$24,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,355.3755346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Mavericks16c23,521$3,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70811747%55 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Rockets80c21,664$17,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,332.76358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Mavericks19c21,018$3,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,993.4227424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Rockets80c20,696$16,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,163.4371547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Rockets79c20,000$15,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,30031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Mavericks21c19,995$4,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,238.9119751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks4c16,958$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.21,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks12c16,312$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.352,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Mavericks22c15,814$3,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,47919136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Rockets80c15,800$12,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1608640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Mavericks20c15,800$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1609054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks11c15,502$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.793,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Mavericks22c15,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Rockets78c14,200$11,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,123.985646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Rockets80c14,176$11,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,905.9648956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks1c13,936$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.361,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Rockets79c13,166$10,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,802.921440.7%87 W · 127 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets79c12,812$10,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,685.524,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe588…7658backed Rockets74c12,700$9,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3022100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Rockets78c12,692$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,792.2462351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Rockets78c12,579$9,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.377957%45 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Rockets79c12,020$9,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,524.1252460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Mavericks20c11,657$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,298.3146928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets79c11,507$9,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.463,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7c26…cf53backed Mavericks10c11,157$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.8430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Mavericks16c11,095$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.27255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Rockets78c10,829$8,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.3848352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Rockets80c10,761$8,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152.21,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks21c10,508$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.641,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Rockets79c10,181$8,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.0130845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks16c10,009$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.914,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Mavericks22c10,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30dd…cbfdbacked Mavericks0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Rockets79c8,795$6,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.9417356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Mavericks11c8,224$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.11,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Mavericks11c7,994$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.5348347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Rockets79c7,501$5,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.2111244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Mavericks20c7,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50014055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67e7…52cabacked Rockets79c7,000$5,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4702944.8%13 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Mavericks20c7,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x769c…5c05backed Rockets80c6,821$5,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.615354.7%29 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Rockets79c6,495$5,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.0350241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Rockets78c6,410$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.219653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Rockets79c6,358$5,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.096258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Mavericks8c6,058$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0924139%94 W · 147 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…4963backed Mavericks22c6,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3201573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Mavericks19c5,965$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.6191050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rockets79c5,780$4,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.8572450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Rockets79c5,696$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.212649.2%62 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Rockets80c5,650$4,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1305971.2%42 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73f7…b2e9backed Rockets79c5,063$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.291457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks20c5,050$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0101,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Mavericks20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Rockets80c4,800$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Mavericks22c4,664$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.5113543.7%59 W · 76 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Mavericks22c4,545$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00033735.3%119 W · 218 L+1.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Rockets80c4,418$3,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.5239958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Rockets78c4,224$3,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.281,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Mavericks21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Mavericks20c3,989$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.9114152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Mavericks28c3,909$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.639744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Mavericks14c3,833$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.3514334.3%49 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Mavericks22c3,792$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.2418151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Rockets79c3,725$2,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.2128649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Rockets78c3,641$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.0347856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Rockets78c3,520$2,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.1527758.8%163 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Rockets79c3,500$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.0627747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets79c3,434$2,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.372,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Mavericks10c3,347$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.3535326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Mavericks22c3,273$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Mavericks7c3,047$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8327943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Rockets80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60020048%96 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Rockets78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11bc…aa21backed Mavericks22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c1…5cd2backed Rockets78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Rockets79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63012547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc764…3e79backed Rockets78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Mavericks2c2,950$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5929810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200c…58eabacked Rockets79c2,886$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.082860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mavericks17c2,849$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.841,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Mavericks12c2,837$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.3583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Mavericks21c2,709$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.6146940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Mavericks19c2,671$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.5438540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Rockets78c2,667$2,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.1135942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Rockets78c2,615$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.39260.9%56 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Rockets80c2,613$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.5192753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.