NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d2a08b5a0c072faca76f006fb1971623aa88c50dde9cbfe7222f68d1cb71ab3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ca…5a06backed Under | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 4,169$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.94 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 3,949$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.03 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over | 56c | 3,600$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 56c | 3,533$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.75 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 3,307$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.71 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…3951backed Over | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Under | 52c | 1,800$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.23 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,563$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.46 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 52c | 1,554$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.07 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 1,171$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.97 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 55c | 1,005$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Over | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 44c | 853.02$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.2 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Over | 60c | 767.12$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 751.29$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 61c | 694.41$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.02 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 58c | 485.71$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 53c | 320.87$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.33 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 41c | 300.08$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.05 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 51c | 280$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.4 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Under | 46c | 217.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.34 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 208.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed Under | 58c | 199.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 44c | 198.47$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.17 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 19c | 183.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 51c | 180.86$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.34 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 72c | 148.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 80c | 130$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 19c | 123.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 114.93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Over | 56c | 100.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 52c | 97.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d15…2d65backed Under | 61c | 80.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 48c | 74.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 69.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 45c | 69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 53c | 66.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 48c | 58.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 27c | 56.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 54c | 54.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 58c | 54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 56c | 52.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…374fbacked Over | 41c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Under | 52c | 49.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…b307backed Under | 51c | 48.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 45c | 45.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…f0a5backed Over | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 47c | 43.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 29c | 43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Under | 51c | 39.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 56c | 38.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…fbd1backed Over | 46c | 36.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480c…18f0backed Under | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 56c | 35.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7b…1d73backed Under | 69c | 30.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b2…fba9backed Over | 49c | 30.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.3wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 48c | 29.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 56c | 26.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df7…01c5backed Over | 49c | 25.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 48c | 21.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 58c | 20.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 53c | 19.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. RocketsRockets won
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.