NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66bb6424eb6503e98d346b04eb39474beed778cada0e05676ff62485b809201a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 1,967$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.4 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 54c | 1,817$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.95 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…8ed0backed Over | 53c | 1,347$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over | 58c | 1,267$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.01 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 953$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 43c | 918$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.26 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…d8abbacked Over | 57c | 868$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 43c | 595.29$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.32 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 42c | 592.27$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.04 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 54c | 575.33$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.29 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 567.08$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.84 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 52c | 422.95$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.8 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 75c | 380.93$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.09 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 41c | 347.12$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 211.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 57c | 204.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 41c | 181.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 41c | 145.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 52c | 122.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 59c | 111.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480c…18f0backed Over | 48c | 107.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…2978backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…896cbacked Over | 43c | 99.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 44c | 97.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 89.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…aeb2backed Over | 56c | 88.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 75.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 47c | 70.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 44c | 69.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 38c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ef…2a44backed Over | 45c | 56.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Under | 54c | 37.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb34…c6a4backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -7.0wins | -0.44per pick | 56cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…f0a5backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 60c | 27.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…fbd1backed Over | 45c | 22.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d3bebacked Over | 58c | 21.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…2d9cbacked Under | 60c | 18.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. RocketsRockets won
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.