NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-11.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6af9071320c6dd4e318ec96f354f01cc863a9e119d3c6f084f18c2647649e64a

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Mavericksof Rockets, Mavericks
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $178,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $181,540

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,122 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Mavericks	54c	112,183$60,419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51,764.15	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets	46c	103,822$47,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,736.39	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets	47c	13,049$6,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,133.03	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Mavericks	53c	12,669$6,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,954.52	207	44.9%93 W · 114 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Rockets	47c	8,769$4,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,121.52	241	51.9%125 W · 116 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets	48c	4,619$2,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,208.86	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets	47c	4,457$2,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,094.66	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks	51c	3,855$1,968 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,886.47	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Mavericks	55c	3,782$2,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,704.51	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets	46c	3,420$1,573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,573.11	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Rockets	46c	3,000$1,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,379.99	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Mavericks	54c	2,778$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,277.78	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Mavericks	54c	2,500$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,150	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec5…9fe0backed Mavericks	65c	2,334$1,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808.63	168	53%89 W · 79 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Mavericks	62c	2,123$1,323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799.74	143	34.3%49 W · 94 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Rockets	47c	1,919$902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$901.76	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Rockets	9c	1,886$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.75	353	26.6%94 W · 259 L	+21.9wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+31%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets	46c	1,759$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.18	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks	56c	1,533$859 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$673.57	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Rockets	48c	1,496$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.93	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets	35c	1,466$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.22	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Mavericks	53c	1,224$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$573.55	75	36%27 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks	54c	1,193$644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$548.78	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Mavericks	54c	1,000$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Mavericks	52c	970$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.6	348	55.2%192 W · 156 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Rockets	34c	942.72$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.03	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockets	33c	811.36$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.57	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks	53c	765.58$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.42	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Rockets	48c	749.62$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.63	266	38.7%103 W · 163 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Rockets	46c	684.76$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.02	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Mavericks	54c	645.9$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.11	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks	54c	600.41$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.84	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rockets	47c	480.35$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.76	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3a5…0a1abacked Rockets	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Mavericks	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Mavericks	73c	340.63$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.87	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Rockets	51c	253.64$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.14	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets	47c	247.7$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.42	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets	46c	217.72$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.1	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Rockets	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16e1…d17abacked Rockets	48c	210.2$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Mavericks	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.2wins	-0.25per pick	48cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Mavericks	53c	199.99$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.99	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Rockets	47c	195.7$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.98	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Mavericks	57c	174.24$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.24	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockets	7c	172.4$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.77	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Mavericks	56c	168$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.92	473	59.2%280 W · 193 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Rockets	47c	156.34$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.48	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Mavericks	53c	151.91$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.03	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Mavericks	54c	149.12$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.12	293	48.5%142 W · 151 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Rockets	41c	146.59$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.19	397	36.3%144 W · 253 L	-27.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Rockets	46c	141.97$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.31	164	43.9%72 W · 92 L	-9.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Rockets	46c	141.97$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.31	150	40%60 W · 90 L	-14.1wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Mavericks	52c	134.62$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.62	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Rockets	47c	127.65$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks	53c	125.14$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.28	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rockets	47c	123.8$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.19	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Rockets	47c	122.62$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.63	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Mavericks	55c	120$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Rockets	48c	108.74$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.09	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Rockets	47c	107.23$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Rockets	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Mavericks	55c	101.82$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.82	631	42%265 W · 366 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked Mavericks	55c	100.03$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.01	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x441d…7a4ebacked Rockets	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…fd21backed Mavericks	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	140	36.4%51 W · 89 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Rockets	46c	99.99$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01b1…0436backed Mavericks	37c	94.82$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.79	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Mavericks	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb178…1fa0backed Mavericks	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa885…84debacked Rockets	47c	90$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.7	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Mavericks	41c	90$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.1	272	47.8%130 W · 142 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Mavericks	67c	89.3$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.83	216	42.1%91 W · 125 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f51…3f2fbacked Mavericks	59c	87.7$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.03	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Rockets	47c	85.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Rockets	47c	85.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	624	50%312 W · 312 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Mavericks	58c	80$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.6	532	50.4%268 W · 264 L	-19.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Rockets	46c	79.65$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.64	143	52.4%75 W · 68 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Mavericks	62c	75.82$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.81	236	30.1%71 W · 165 L	-12.3wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Mavericks	54c	74.07$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.07	498	52.4%261 W · 237 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed Mavericks	49c	70$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.7	133	38.3%51 W · 82 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Rockets	46c	65.94$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.33	219	48.9%107 W · 112 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74ea…15b7backed Rockets	47c	61.81$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9021…bf4ebacked Mavericks	54c	61.45$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.27	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Mavericks	53c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	421	46.1%194 W · 227 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Rockets	41c	58.32$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.91	403	44.4%179 W · 224 L	-23.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Mavericks	54c	55.52$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.54	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Mavericks	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	199	51.8%103 W · 96 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Rockets	47c	53.28$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.04	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Rockets	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	400	48.3%193 W · 207 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Mavericks	55c	52$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.4	333	60.4%201 W · 132 L	+17.6wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mavericks	53c	50.19$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.35	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7a9…b7b7backed Rockets	46c	50.18$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.31	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dfe…2978backed Rockets	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Rockets	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	432	46.1%199 W · 233 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2360…8886backed Rockets	50c	49.8$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Mavericks	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	335	52.8%177 W · 158 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Rockets	41c	45$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.57	545	49.5%270 W · 275 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7280…fbd1backed Rockets	47c	44.89$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Rockets	46c	43.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.97	279	43%120 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Rockets (-11.5)this page
1H Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Mavericks vs. RocketsRockets won
Mavericks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5No won
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Mavericks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Rockets (-11.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event