NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfef12ebfd334d3e141962f8ce4046cd5cc0bdf018dcec88e95873be6d281f855
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.98 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 12,698$6,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,671.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Under | 46c | 11,347$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,127.38 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 53c | 5,000$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.6 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 3,113$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 46c | 2,849$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.31 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 46c | 2,400$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb42…48ccbacked Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 1,129$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.66 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 999.97$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…e0adbacked Under | 46c | 732.61$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 54c | 613.85$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 590.2$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.5 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 53c | 502.96$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.88 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 49c | 426.78$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.45 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 46c | 293.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 283.07$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.69 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 45c | 209.15$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.03 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 197.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 46c | 194.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.07 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 47c | 149.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 48c | 126$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…83a0backed Under | 46c | 112.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 55c | 101.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 46c | 91.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 66.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 57.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 50.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 46.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 46c | 34.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b2…fba9backed Over | 53c | 28.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.3wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Over | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 301 | 32.6%98 W · 203 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. RocketsRockets won
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.