TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$806,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$813,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $806,965 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c566,698$294,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294,190.0787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under48c346,345$166,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180,099.572,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under48c150,000$72,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,0001,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under52c88,364$45,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,414.4920758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over48c56,623$27,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,179.2344352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c27,044$13,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,913.012,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Under54c20,060$10,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,164.7923047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c19,857$9,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,547.269,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under50c15,885$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,885.2420849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Over48c10,417$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c9,343$4,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,427.574,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1912…686cbacked Over51c8,400$4,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2842147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd499…c6b7backed Under49c8,400$4,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2842040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a0…43cfbacked Over51c8,300$4,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2332356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf95…eb74backed Under49c8,300$4,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2331747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x977f…dbf5backed Under51c5,696$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,791.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Over48c5,175$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,470.535450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2148…0599backed Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.77633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under51c4,902$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.9610045%45 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under53c4,717$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.9876746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over48c4,140$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.2342648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over49c4,118$2,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01837747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Over17c4,118$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.0817042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under53c3,611$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.0426640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under48c3,445$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.1824554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e27…3cccbacked Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5302356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53019147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1869…30c8backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5302755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under51c2,949$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.9756453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Over48c2,786$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.3618343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c2,703$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.268,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c2,668$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.0880737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c2,538$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.343,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under46c2,433$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.872,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…7eb4backed Over49c2,300$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over47c2,103$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.1437755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under52c2,100$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00822055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa701…793fbacked Over49c1,700$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x730c…cfb5backed Over49c1,696$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Under52c1,496$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.1518650%93 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Over49c1,470$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.510048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over48c1,425$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.9319647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over49c1,231$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.191,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c1,071$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Over48c1,040$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.222143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfac…75debacked Over49c870.75$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.31822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-57.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40025951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over14c785.01$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0231144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c690.61$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.742,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c586.79$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.065,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over50c576.77$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.451,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c564.8$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.843,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over47c552$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.8852052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b11…4419backed Over44c533.65$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.15425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under50c530$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.224442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under50c520.12$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.0622845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c498.46$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.266,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over48c471$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.92,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over50c455.84$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.43,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under49c377.1$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.3215849.4%78 W · 80 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Under52c365$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.221045.2%95 W · 115 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Over15c328.7$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9214636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Under52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4614152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4632952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Under52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.468240.2%33 W · 49 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x481d…48cfbacked Under52c272$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.567954.4%43 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over26c269.66$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.641,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Under65c261.68$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6818650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16d2…bbadbacked Under52c253.17$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over9c246.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.822,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7732346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd725…81dabacked Under52c210$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.81637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cee…1832backed Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9419151.8%99 W · 92 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over11c197.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.052,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc897…f3b3backed Under36c193.19$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.192147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under49c187.5$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.631,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c185.98$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.683,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4f…c0f0backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.196750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over47c185$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.951,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over51c183.14$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9435747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under48c174.72$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8226638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f0b…8e1dbacked Under52c173.08$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.08825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Under52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.854252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9422655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7292750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Under69c145.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1212865.6%84 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under54c135$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.162744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x354f…c6febacked Under52c126.92$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbcf…47ddbacked Under52c117.5$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.44965.3%32 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Over13c115.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9717554.9%96 W · 79 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd272…fa58backed Under51c113.41$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over44c105.86$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.135,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.