TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,478

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,617 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56be…57eebacked Yes15c30,018$4,503 inLost-$4,502.7521143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddba…867fbacked Yes1c15,000$150 inLost-$1501435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Yes12c15,000$1,800 inLost-$1,80013357.9%77 W · 56 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25a2…f60dbacked Yes1c7,911$114 inLost-$114147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-85.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf779…13d9backed Yes1c4,792$65 inLost-$65214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-90.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked No12c4,564$549 inWon+$4,015.0117151.5%88 W · 83 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91db…26bdbacked Yes13c3,879$485 inLost-$484.88475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Yes1c3,801$44 inLost-$44.0258951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c3,778$33 inLost-$33.31,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes1c2,000$20 inLost-$2095651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No44c1,597$708 inWon+$889.261,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e9…aafdbacked Yes2c1,007$20 inLost-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-74%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906a…714ebacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost-$102138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes14c888.93$128 inLost-$127.8122836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe492…8309backed Yes2c800.37$15 inLost-$15120%0 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No72c736.04$528 inWon+$207.661,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33d0…f7ebbacked Yes15c648.31$100 inLost-$1005119.6%10 W · 41 L-10.1wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-56.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed No72c500$360 inWon+$140.0232957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8960…9c9ebacked Yes5c484.43$23 inLost-$23.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5fe…b52dbacked No13c200$26 inWon+$1741241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick19cpaid+215%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No45c100$45 inWon+$552,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Yes74c60$44 inLost-$44.1568940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes26c59.64$16 inLost-$15.5130616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Yes43c28.96$12 inLost-$12.391,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a6d…cf4abacked No72c20$14 inWon+$5.621090%9 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick55cpaid+77.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb47d…fb65backed No55c19$11 inWon+$8.49425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.