TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x906a…714e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 52 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+190.9%+$190.89
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+46.5%+$46.52
Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+132.6%+$119.35
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 28.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Aaron Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+185.7%+$85.43
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$142
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$141
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+47.1%+$65.41
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+177.8%+$106.67
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$93
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Jazz vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+37%+$33.29
Pacers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$70
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Providence Bruins vs. Charlotte Checkersbacked Providence Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 4 Anchors and Ilmeria (BO3) - The International North America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 4 Anchors and Ilmeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inbacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.