Tennis · resolved market
Heilbronn: Mika Petkovic vs Alejandro Moro Canas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa94cdae43ff7263c71ba64403302aa634ebcb91a7d1875244386b1ec5bbc32bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alejandro Moro Canasof Mika Petkovic, Alejandro Moro Canas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 63c | 1,779$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.43 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Mika Petkovic | 43c | 1,368$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.18 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Mika Petkovic | 14c | 764.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mika Petkovic | 13c | 754.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…75e4backed Mika Petkovic | 38c | 510.53$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 193 | 43.5%84 W · 109 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked Mika Petkovic | 41c | 464.12$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 461.54$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.67 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…df4bbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 62c | 410.53$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mika Petkovic | 22c | 393.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Mika Petkovic | 13c | 376.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 59c | 367.38$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.63 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Mika Petkovic | 37c | 314.59$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Mika Petkovic | 29c | 269.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed Mika Petkovic | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mika Petkovic | 12c | 218.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Mika Petkovic | 16c | 179.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906a…714ebacked Mika Petkovic | 35c | 171.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 63c | 158.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Mika Petkovic | 35c | 150.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mika Petkovic | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Mika Petkovic | 36c | 138.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Mika Petkovic | 42c | 138.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Mika Petkovic | 14c | 125.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 65c | 108.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 70c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked Mika Petkovic | 15c | 71.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 66.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Mika Petkovic | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Mika Petkovic | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 63c | 55.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Mika Petkovic | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…9a00backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 201 | 58.7%118 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Mika Petkovic | 36c | 44.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 57c | 39.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 33.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…26fbbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Mika Petkovic | 37c | 30.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -40.4wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…1ac3backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Mika Petkovic | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…3d93backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 69cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa34b…9d48backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 53c | 25.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 62c | 20.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 69c | 19.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.