Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Army Black Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3556ab30fbbbda953c46400e79061190de28b1c80394647fef216619ed5356ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Army Black Knightsof Holy Cross Crusaders, Army Black Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 1c | 1,507$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 1,252$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.35 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 37c | 1,076$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.7 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906a…714ebacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 37c | 777.58$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.44 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Army Black Knights | 59c | 776.96$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.63 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 42c | 637.78$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.48 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Army Black Knights | 52c | 625.92$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.26 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Army Black Knights | 56c | 562.42$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.89 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Army Black Knights | 65c | 546.02$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.66 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 8c | 360.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Army Black Knights | 62c | 323.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.59 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Army Black Knights | 59c | 248.34$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 33c | 227.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…899abacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Army Black Knights | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Army Black Knights | 58c | 189.74$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Army Black Knights | 64c | 152.57$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Army Black Knights | 65c | 150.47$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Army Black Knights | 57c | 147.19$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Army Black Knights | 61c | 141.49$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Army Black Knights | 69c | 139.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d9…4da7backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 34c | 115.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Army Black Knights | 75c | 99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Army Black Knights | 61c | 74.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 37c | 68.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Army Black Knights | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Army Black Knights | 66c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Army Black Knights | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Army Black Knights | 65c | 44.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…f020backed Army Black Knights | 32c | 43.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e466backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Army Black Knights | 55c | 36.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Army Black Knights | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf624…97d8backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 46c | 31.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Army Black Knights | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Army Black Knights | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41cd…a24abacked Army Black Knights | 64c | 18.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Army Black Knightsthis page
- Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: Army Black Knights (-2.5)Holy Cross Crusaders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.