TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Nicholls Colonels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksof Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks, Nicholls Colonels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,795
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,910

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,795 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe248…f293backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks45c62,653$28,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,357.2178155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nicholls Colonels55c51,348$28,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,235.751,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x812e…ae42backed Nicholls Colonels38c5,250$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Nicholls Colonels44c4,553$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.42835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks52c4,373$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.513,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd098…8c03backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks50c3,729$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.95858.6%34 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nicholls Colonels50c2,376$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.614,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks62c1,986$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7452,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d4…e1d2backed Nicholls Colonels54c1,845$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.25714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Nicholls Colonels46c1,756$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.8399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Nicholls Colonels54c1,628$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88326254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Nicholls Colonels52c1,379$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.8349746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks57c1,307$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.031,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks46c1,249$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6772,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Nicholls Colonels37c1,220$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.1639744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks54c1,192$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.622,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nicholls Colonels53c1,074$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.952,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Nicholls Colonels54c1,068$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.861361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Nicholls Colonels55c1,038$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.991225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks59c965.58$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.3112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x646c…b502backed Nicholls Colonels54c938.89$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks49c911.56$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.881,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Nicholls Colonels3c873.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2294036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcca5…6d0cbacked Nicholls Colonels54c851.85$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.652458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Nicholls Colonels40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010047%47 W · 53 L+8.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4e9…44d0backed Nicholls Colonels53c662.49$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1627450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks62c631$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.7874152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks62c629.03$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.0315748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks52c615.52$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.43,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Nicholls Colonels27c603.15$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks56c600$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.5617546.3%81 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x906a…714ebacked Nicholls Colonels54c572.22$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…a506backed Nicholls Colonels55c532.2$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.31752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks62c522.58$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.5818650%93 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ad…02b0backed Nicholls Colonels54c505.52$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9750%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks49c490$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.4212617.5%22 W · 104 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks56c477.08$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.152,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x485e…fcb5backed Nicholls Colonels54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nicholls Colonels24c436.92$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.444,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks60c405$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16213746.7%64 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks52c380$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.6744955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks62c370.66$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.856940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1355…1e7bbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks51c367.61$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Nicholls Colonels50c302.8$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15049849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Nicholls Colonels42c275$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.251,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed Nicholls Colonels54c265$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.11526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Nicholls Colonels54c233.33$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks62c226.93$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.231,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks62c217.82$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7774649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c74…00bcbacked Nicholls Colonels53c216.85$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.93944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.774656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks60c202.83$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.139144%40 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nicholls Colonels43c172$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.691,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7318851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks44c141.47$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.226065%39 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks59c140.53$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6220254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks63c119.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0517950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c2…0348backed Nicholls Colonels51c114.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.96714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-74.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Nicholls Colonels38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3889146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Nicholls Colonels40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.545953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Nicholls Colonels52c94.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3819332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Nicholls Colonels37c88$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9432343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc67…b5ddbacked Nicholls Colonels57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d24…6564backed Nicholls Colonels53c81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Nicholls Colonels42c74.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4614035%49 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Nicholls Colonels37c67.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1625436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks73c64.93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.532,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed Nicholls Colonels56c56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.363148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ad…44febacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks51c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4510151.5%52 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks46c38.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0729012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.449747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d19…e2fdbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.81,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5e2…3703backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks62c24.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1897447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Nicholls Colonels48c23.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1737835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks49c22.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.443324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5554…de7ebacked Nicholls Colonels55c21.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.