TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd5e2…3703

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST3860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UMBC Retrievers vs. Binghamton Bearcatsbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Auburn Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebelsbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
SMU Mustangs vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Ball State Cardinals vs. Central Michigan Chippewasbacked Central Michigan Chippewas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lamar Cardinals vs. New Orleans Privateersbacked Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Nicholls Colonelsbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Providence Friars vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Princeton Tigers vs. Dartmouth Big Greenbacked Dartmouth Big Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Rider Broncsbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Charlotte 49ers vs. East Carolina Piratesbacked Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$20
UCLA Bruins vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Auburn Tigers vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Saint Joseph's Hawksbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Furman Paladins vs. Samford Bulldogsbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+103%+$20.6
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Boston Terriersbacked Boston Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
High Point Panthers vs. Winthrop Eaglesbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Western Michigan Broncosbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST2433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bruins vs. Starsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Devils vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Penguins vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Oilers vs. Predatorsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Flames vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Panthers vs. Sabresbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Devils vs. Jetsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Kings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Predators vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Senators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+174%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Dino Prizmic vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+174%+$17.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.9%+$10.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+51.5%+$12.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.