Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
SMU Mustangs vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd6563482e5c13c01f9fb7b93481462220128814d6efbb3216cd1ef11f9565bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SMU Mustangsof SMU Mustangs, Wake Forest Demon Deacons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SMU Mustangs | 80c | 3,811$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.28 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 21c | 2,386$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 20c | 1,782$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.94 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 50c | 1,211$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.5 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 1c | 1,126$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 14c | 1,000$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked SMU Mustangs | 62c | 809.55$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.97 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…55f7backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SMU Mustangs | 56c | 560.35$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ee…5cf0backed SMU Mustangs | 60c | 510.62$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.42 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed SMU Mustangs | 71c | 480.82$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.39 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 46c | 400.97$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.34 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 5c | 368.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked SMU Mustangs | 79c | 338.34$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 40c | 285.7$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed SMU Mustangs | 55c | 260$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 250$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 45c | 224.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked SMU Mustangs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked SMU Mustangs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 48c | 187.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 37c | 184.65$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked SMU Mustangs | 62c | 176.19$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed SMU Mustangs | 75c | 122.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 21c | 107$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 16c | 97.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed SMU Mustangs | 78c | 93.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 48c | 92.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 47c | 89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked SMU Mustangs | 65c | 81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 36c | 70.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 35c | 49.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 23c | 45.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…3703backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked SMU Mustangs | 50c | 35.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed SMU Mustangs | 58c | 31.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed SMU Mustangs | 68c | 29.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4f…c578backed SMU Mustangs | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6d…e4f4backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 49c | 28.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked SMU Mustangs | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed SMU Mustangs | 68c | 24.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…37d3backed SMU Mustangs | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 51c | 19.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed SMU Mustangs | 71c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked SMU Mustangs | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SMU Mustangs vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsthis page
- SMU Mustangs vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 158.5Over won
- SMU Mustangs vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 159.5Over won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-1.5)SMU Mustangs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.