TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Princeton Tigers vs. Dartmouth Big Green

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dartmouth Big Greenof Princeton Tigers, Dartmouth Big Green
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,558
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,558 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Princeton Tigers47c3,048$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.785,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Dartmouth Big Green52c1,289$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.294,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Princeton Tigers59c1,041$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.4224444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Dartmouth Big Green68c760$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2425556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed Princeton Tigers1c700$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101048.7%9 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Dartmouth Big Green31c518.45$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.731346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Dartmouth Big Green28c507.74$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.783,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Princeton Tigers48c464.88$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.1412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Dartmouth Big Green52c461$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.2875447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Dartmouth Big Green53c443.1$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.72,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Dartmouth Big Green34c416.92$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.91,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Dartmouth Big Green40c389.51$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.143,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Dartmouth Big Green37c345.91$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.487047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Princeton Tigers51c278.65$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14138343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Dartmouth Big Green34c213$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.341,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Dartmouth Big Green38c201.86$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.113840.6%56 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Princeton Tigers32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6417546.3%81 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e44…94fabacked Dartmouth Big Green13c195.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.151030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid+16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Dartmouth Big Green28c194.14$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.784,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Dartmouth Big Green52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3148462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Dartmouth Big Green53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6819446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Dartmouth Big Green40c187.85$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.398930.3%27 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce0…5cb9backed Princeton Tigers28c178$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.271030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Princeton Tigers65c132.75$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2948051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Dartmouth Big Green40c128.18$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.31,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Princeton Tigers9c119$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.533993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Dartmouth Big Green36c110.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4421830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9380…a275backed Dartmouth Big Green36c99.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Dartmouth Big Green53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3440252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Princeton Tigers69c90$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.845953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dartmouth Big Green49c86.56$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.11,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Dartmouth Big Green30c82.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5623544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e40…224ebacked Princeton Tigers74c81.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-40.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Dartmouth Big Green43c79.93$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8229954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe9c3…5ce1backed Dartmouth Big Green36c61$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.74728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Princeton Tigers48c58.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.961,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Dartmouth Big Green34c58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3820024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Princeton Tigers47c49.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.492,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Dartmouth Big Green37c47.57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9794036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Dartmouth Big Green34c44.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8566831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Princeton Tigers31c37.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.611,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f1…47a5backed Princeton Tigers73c34.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251936.8%7 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-42.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Princeton Tigers47c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.515,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd5e2…3703backed Dartmouth Big Green53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Dartmouth Big Green53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1622157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Dartmouth Big Green52c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.522,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Dartmouth Big Green50c23.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7939744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0097…9055backed Princeton Tigers68c22.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151040%4 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-41.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb723…7ae0backed Dartmouth Big Green50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Princeton Tigers78c16.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.033,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.