TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97f1…47a5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.54
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37.3%+$5.73
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$11.85
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.9%+$10.07
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.9
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+44.1%+$14.11
Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 251.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+256.3%+$64.07
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.47
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+64%+$17.28
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+72.6%+$337.26
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+50.7%+$38.57
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+34.2%+$22.59
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+40.9%+$6.2
Nets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1936.8%7 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-42.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Charleston Cougarsbacked Campbell Fighting Camels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bellarmine Knights vs. Jacksonville Dolphinsbacked Bellarmine Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Princeton Tigers vs. Dartmouth Big Greenbacked Princeton Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.79
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.29
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Western Michigan Broncosbacked Western Michigan Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.3%+$12.06
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Wagner Seahawksbacked Wagner Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Indiana Hoosiersbacked Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+46.8%+$10.76
UNCW Seahawks vs. Northeastern Huskiesbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Creighton Bluejays vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. James Madison Dukesbacked Marshall Thundering Herd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+28.4%+$13.34
Saint Louis Billikens vs. VCU Ramsbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+31.9%+$9.88
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. Army Black Knightsbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
American Eagles vs. Colgate Raidersbacked American Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Oregon Ducks vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Auburn Tigers vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Seattle Redhawks vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 19 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+114.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+34.5%+$3.79
Golden Knights vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+194.1%+$27.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+232.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+232.4%+$403.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+212.5%+$42.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$171
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.