TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Western Michigan Broncos

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Western Michigan Broncosof Eastern Michigan Eagles, Western Michigan Broncos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,764

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,978 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Eastern Michigan Eagles15c4,362$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.412,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Western Michigan Broncos47c2,892$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.153,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Eastern Michigan Eagles62c1,160$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.742,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Eastern Michigan Eagles38c1,122$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43072248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe95c…adbdbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles52c970$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5bc…eac8backed Western Michigan Broncos48c970$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles46c893.05$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.745,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Western Michigan Broncos33c848.9$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.2942327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Western Michigan Broncos48c510$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.742,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Western Michigan Broncos67c506.43$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.351,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Western Michigan Broncos49c418.41$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.984,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Eastern Michigan Eagles16c413.31$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.846543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles52c396.87$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Eastern Michigan Eagles60c253.19$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.83,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Eastern Michigan Eagles54c205$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.760548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Eastern Michigan Eagles52c193.11$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.838343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed Eastern Michigan Eagles52c192.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8412733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14bd…1c4cbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Western Michigan Broncos47c188.68$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Western Michigan Broncos49c184.68$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7273549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f29…9d73backed Western Michigan Broncos46c161.3$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.18253.7%44 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Western Michigan Broncos45c152.83$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.061,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Western Michigan Broncos55c148.84$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.538956.2%50 W · 39 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Western Michigan Broncos49c119$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.191,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Eastern Michigan Eagles53c80.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.569151.6%47 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Eastern Michigan Eagles52c52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.249747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Western Michigan Broncos56c42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.481,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Western Michigan Broncos44c33.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.711,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Eastern Michigan Eagles57c33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6622050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83fb…e89bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516952.7%89 W · 80 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f1…47a5backed Western Michigan Broncos57c28.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.061936.8%7 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-42.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5dd4…d37abacked Eastern Michigan Eagles76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick76cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Western Michigan Broncos54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.411,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Western Michigan Broncos60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d53…3ad0backed Eastern Michigan Eagles69c22.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.272343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f84…73abbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles70c20.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Eastern Michigan Eagles52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3535050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Eastern Michigan Eagles54c19.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.554,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.