TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$262,152
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$264,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,152 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbcaf…9343backed Yes0c60,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a59…fdb0backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No32c13,469$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,169.194,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Yes24c12,581$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c12,123$9,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,762.332,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes72c12,018$8,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,616.683450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c11,067$4,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,831.566,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcbac…435fbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11ff…2d5abacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+106.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe1c…3ca5backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Yes21c3,795$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.192123.8%5 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Yes77c2,700$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No77c2,697$2,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.7135652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No28c2,470$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.1616737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes13c2,070$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.2336563%230 W · 135 L+32.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed No77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4602548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes7c1,848$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.887116.9%12 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes63c1,797$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.6441344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes23c1,795$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.881,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes63c1,763$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.1716238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No23c1,723$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.8756453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes74c1,535$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.5696645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c1,405$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.431,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes74c1,401$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.3861441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes22c1,349$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007436.5%27 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked No78c1,274$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.193452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No53c1,268$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.0810051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes75c1,199$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8992075%15 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Yes23c1,100$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked No77c1,100$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.997659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No79c1,000$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.992,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes18c926$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.939929.3%29 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed Yes20c922.74$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.352552%13 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes74c860$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.15646.4%26 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Yes75c800$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5986439.1%25 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No78c703$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.6633057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed No15c665.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.093215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f05…4480backed Yes78c641.03$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes23c596.26$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408237.8%31 W · 51 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed No29c565.52$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.525745.6%26 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes15c538.35$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4942324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes23c525.71$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8113447%63 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes73c469.86$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34319259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes41c450.07$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1318251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No33c446.86$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.620931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe31c…642bbacked Yes74c406.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes20c400.02$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8044036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked No44c397.94$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.942326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-41.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed No77c389.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6910757%61 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No27c363.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.5930666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Yes60c328.95$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.371450%7 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0b5…85efbacked Yes8c325$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes24c315.08$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.626240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec3…0cf1backed Yes23c312.09$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.787741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4851847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5995…53b3backed Yes77c298.7$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick74cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed No78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.419749.5%48 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005046%23 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes21c240.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.721,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed No35c226.17$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.015056%28 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes28c223.52$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.531,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No78c210$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.237557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb959…a1d7backed Yes77c207.79$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4412060%72 W · 48 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc738…7d74backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes20c195.55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1132222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe513…3328backed Yes71c162.06$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.911216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.6wins-0.39per pick55cpaid-76.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes43c161.29$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2889152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007657.9%44 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes24c148.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359551.6%49 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23df…c7a8backed Yes73c142.14$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.131752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebf4…181ebacked Yes74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc101…98edbacked Yes74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae96…0ebbbacked No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed No77c129.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.725343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed No78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.217170.4%50 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes23c118.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5433753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed No43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.284047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes72c103.43$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.541,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5f…03dcbacked Yes77c101.45$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a69…7b8fbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5752…62a3backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes22c99.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220144.3%89 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ee3…f07ebacked Yes23c97.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes20c97.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3210820.4%22 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No78c96.34$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1925752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206547.7%31 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5113…43adbacked No26c87.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.41333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8c8…ec76backed Yes12c87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce11…4a49backed Yes23c86.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208742.5%37 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No37c84.66$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3612245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf27e…d69dbacked Yes24c83.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x545d…c895backed Yes70c80.61$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.43616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.45per pick62cpaid-79.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Yes78c76.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5286…b7f5backed Yes65c76.62$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Yes22c75.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.756735.8%24 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.