Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb12cd2e49ffb6f2f28de779d290896666db996fd398c1173662c3a6e19b5ef9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 27c | 20,290$5,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,715.18 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 6,886$4,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,774.69 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 23c | 5,396$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.35 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Yes | 30c | 4,691$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.08 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Yes | 26c | 3,866$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.93 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 17c | 2,500$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.39 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 17c | 1,911$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.3 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 68c | 1,814$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.31 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 1,134$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.28 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 28c | 1,053$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.56 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…71c9backed No | 2c | 1,020$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 817.19$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.51 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…7169backed Yes | 13c | 800$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 28c | 645.79$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.77 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 69c | 626.09$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.88 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 517$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.74 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 79c | 433.02$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.52 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…c123backed Yes | 80c | 413.52$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 77c | 391.29$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.81 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 29c | 332.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.42 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 28c | 325.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.81 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 17c | 299.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.83 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…912cbacked Yes | 25c | 274.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.07 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Yes | 32c | 273.94$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.75 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae96…0ebbbacked No | 77c | 260.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed No | 75c | 244$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 243.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.65 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 22c | 200$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc9…9229backed Yes | 24c | 165.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 69c | 154$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 17c | 152.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.94 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Yes | 18c | 151.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +174%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 73c | 150$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 76c | 130.92$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 123.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.06 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed No | 74c | 116$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cb…c61ebacked Yes | 19c | 100.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…d0e7backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84a6…4aa8backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 24c | 96.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 88.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…e026backed Yes | 25c | 82.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd663…ec76backed Yes | 23c | 82.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +332.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 19c | 79.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 41c | 73.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 21c | 71.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…3885backed Yes | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked No | 73c | 69.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 68.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed Yes | 20c | 67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 78c | 57.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 22c | 57.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 21c | 55.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…d794backed No | 77c | 53.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 24c | 50.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 47c | 41.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…8d1bbacked No | 72c | 38.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked No | 80c | 34.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ce0abacked Yes | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…697abacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed No | 77c | 27.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed No | 76c | 26.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x399e…27d2backed No | 74c | 26.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…b65dbacked No | 77c | 26.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…f5efbacked No | 77c | 20.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf43…90e0backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…eda1backed No | 76c | 19.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a67…0355backed No | 77c | 18.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Yes | 79c | 16.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbe…a8c0backed No | 77c | 15.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-09?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.