TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeebf…3885

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.26
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Iryna Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Gabriela Knutson vs Carole Monnetbacked Gabriela Knutson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$20.9
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$19.72
Copa Colsanitas: Camila Osorio vs Jazmin Ortenzibacked Jazmin Ortenzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.67
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rotterdam Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo Humbertbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$47.71
Open Sud de France: Arthur Gea vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Open Sud de France: Valentin Royer vs Arthur Filsbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25.9%+$44.37
Transylvania Open: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+47%+$84.52
Hobart International: Iva Jovic vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
ASB Classic: Luciano Darderi vs Marcos Gironbacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$63.53
Adelaide International: Tomas Machac vs Jaume Munarbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$33.8
Hobart International: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Magda Linettebacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+69.6%+$61.22
Adelaide International: Tereza Valentova vs Madison Keysbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+37%+$20.02
Adelaide International: Diana Shnaider vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$82.24
ASB Classic: Mariano Navone vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+37%+$60.06
Hobart International: Katie Volynets vs Ann Libacked Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+37.6%+$72.29
Adelaide International, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Quentin Halysbacked Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
Adelaide International, Qualification: Laura Siegemund vs Vera Zvonarevabacked Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Adelaide International, Qualification: Jaqueline Cristian vs Sarah Mildrenbacked Mildren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Adelaide International, Qualification: Xiaodi You vs Anastasia Potapovabacked You · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.9
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25%+$6
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+25%+$14
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Bullsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Thunderbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.19
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Bucks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$42.6
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35.21
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+38.9%+$6.53
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13.26
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.82
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+274.5%+$46.12
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.25
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$23.93
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+32.9%+$6.58
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$20.55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$14.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$53.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.