Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic: Mariano Navone vs Alex Michelsen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x235e844eca50e1f03d546cd455d094153da5505563764744ad8ea462c072e54a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michelsenof Navone, Michelsen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Navone | 42c | 13,180$5,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,490.77 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Navone | 2c | 11,002$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Navone | 27c | 8,774$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.6 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Navone | 15c | 7,925$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Navone | 59c | 7,772$4,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,587.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Michelsen | 75c | 3,333$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.25 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Michelsen | 53c | 2,789$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.96 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Michelsen | 61c | 2,529$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.76 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Navone | 10c | 2,265$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Michelsen | 64c | 2,225$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.58 | 365 | 54.2%198 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Navone | 25c | 2,047$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.82 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73d…80e7backed Michelsen | 70c | 2,040$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Michelsen | 59c | 2,000$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.82 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Navone | 6c | 1,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 83 | 13.3%11 W · 72 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Navone | 40c | 1,217$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.67 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Michelsen | 78c | 1,173$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.27 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Navone | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Navone | 27c | 1,082$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.73 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Navone | 25c | 1,052$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.09 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Michelsen | 58c | 1,045$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.39 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Navone | 41c | 1,045$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.55 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michelsen | 40c | 1,044$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.46 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Michelsen | 74c | 945.95$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.95 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Navone | 53c | 934.14$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Michelsen | 60c | 920.05$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.32 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Michelsen | 75c | 911.38$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.31 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Michelsen | 56c | 878.66$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.66 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Michelsen | 53c | 864.09$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.27 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Navone | 25c | 729.67$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Navone | 28c | 694$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.32 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Navone | 49c | 598.2$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.41 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…7dcebacked Navone | 53c | 577.99$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.05 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.25per pick | 33cpaid | -77%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…a8bbbacked Michelsen | 74c | 546$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…4a3cbacked Michelsen | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…9357backed Navone | 63c | 472.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Michelsen | 63c | 471.43$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.43 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Navone | 5c | 450$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Michelsen | 60c | 365.6$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.85 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Michelsen | 62c | 364.96$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Navone | 37c | 348.54$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.08 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Michelsen | 53c | 337.47$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.47 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c6…4f3fbacked Michelsen | 52c | 332.25$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Michelsen | 62c | 322.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.66 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Michelsen | 66c | 310.84$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.32 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Navone | 27c | 303.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Michelsen | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Navone | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Michelsen | 69c | 276$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Michelsen | 74c | 270.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.28 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Michelsen | 38c | 263.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Navone | 23c | 259.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Navone | 59c | 256.07$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.3 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Navone | 30c | 250$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Navone | 39c | 223.09$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…3885backed Michelsen | 73c | 222.44$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Michelsen | 75c | 221.33$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977f…5a82backed Navone | 35c | 211.2$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Navone | 10c | 200.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Navone | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Michelsen | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…6678backed Michelsen | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Michelsen | 69c | 193.61$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Navone | 11c | 185.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 307 | 50.5%155 W · 152 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Navone | 28c | 171.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…1068backed Navone | 32c | 162.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Navone | 42c | 156.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…9494backed Navone | 51c | 156.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Navone | 26c | 154.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Navone | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…0d68backed Michelsen | 74c | 148.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Michelsen | 74c | 145.91$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Navone | 27c | 141.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Michelsen | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Navone | 37c | 133.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Michelsen | 75c | 133.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…8a75backed Michelsen | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Navone | 38c | 121.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Michelsen | 75c | 120.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Navone | 33c | 119.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Navone | 67c | 118.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Navone | 16c | 117.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed Michelsen | 70c | 115.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…ea7ebacked Navone | 33c | 110.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Michelsen | 37c | 108.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Michelsen | 58c | 101.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Michelsen | 44c | 100.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Navone | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Michelsen | 73c | 99.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Navone | 15c | 95.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc837…2e91backed Michelsen | 74c | 90.45$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58c5…deeebacked Navone | 56c | 89.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Michelsen | 72c | 84.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Michelsen | 75c | 83.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Michelsen | 73c | 83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Navone | 33c | 81.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Michelsen | 68c | 79.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d8…1053backed Michelsen | 37c | 78.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Navone | 25c | 77.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Navone | 62c | 77.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…c4adbacked Navone | 32c | 76.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic: Mariano Navone vs Alex Michelsenthis page
- Navone vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Navone vs. Michelsen: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Navone vs. Michelsen: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Navone vs. Michelsen: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Navone vs MichelsenNavone won
- Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Navone (+1.5)Navone won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.