TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71d8…1053

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Francisco Comesanabacked Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
ASB Classic: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.81
Australian Open Women's: Lilli Tagger vs Xinyu Gaobacked Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+232.7%+$25.84
Adelaide International: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+320.4%+$39.12
Adelaide International: Katerina Siniakova vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.67
Adelaide International: Ethan Quinn vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.09
Australian Open Men's: Sho Shimabukuro vs Alex Molcanbacked Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.91
Hobart International: Peyton Stearns vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+36.3%+$3.92
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pieri vs Harmony Tanbacked Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.57
ASB Classic: Mariano Navone vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+167.2%+$49.07
Australian Open Women's: Storm Hunter vs Ekaterine Gorgodzebacked Hunter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+73.2%+$22.33
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Giustino vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+50.7%+$5.75
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+42.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$42.77
Devils vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$37.43
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$18.54
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Wyoming Cowboysbacked Wyoming Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.88
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Morgan State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$38.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+177.8%+$38.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.