Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Wyoming Cowboys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ce9233d9920ef7ae59b189a50ad8066de262b5e6f369af03cc2ad5759b9ddc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego State Aztecsof San Diego State Aztecs, Wyoming Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed San Diego State Aztecs | 54c | 5,360$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.17 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Wyoming Cowboys | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 13c | 1,862$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.34 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wyoming Cowboys | 10c | 1,030$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 24c | 1,014$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wyoming Cowboys | 47c | 942$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.74 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Wyoming Cowboys | 44c | 925.41$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.18 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 22c | 834.76$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.58 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed San Diego State Aztecs | 56c | 725.41$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.18 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 55c | 654.55$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.55 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Wyoming Cowboys | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 45c | 625.55$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Wyoming Cowboys | 46c | 586.63$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.85 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 76c | 585.13$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.32 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed San Diego State Aztecs | 53c | 565$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.55 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 46c | 531.21$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.14 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 54c | 522.6$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.3 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed San Diego State Aztecs | 64c | 507.25$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.84 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Wyoming Cowboys | 8c | 500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Wyoming Cowboys | 58c | 393.99$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.52 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 46c | 369.39$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 61c | 328.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.92 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wyoming Cowboys | 47c | 296.95$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.57 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wyoming Cowboys | 46c | 263$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 33c | 258.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Wyoming Cowboys | 43c | 222.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Wyoming Cowboys | 46c | 216.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wyoming Cowboys | 46c | 212.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.63 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wyoming Cowboys | 43c | 212.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.69 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 47c | 209$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed San Diego State Aztecs | 70c | 146.37$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed San Diego State Aztecs | 67c | 136$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 44c | 123$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed San Diego State Aztecs | 79c | 120.25$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wyoming Cowboys | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Wyoming Cowboys | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed San Diego State Aztecs | 57c | 97.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked San Diego State Aztecs | 42c | 85.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked San Diego State Aztecs | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego State Aztecs | 56c | 67.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Wyoming Cowboys | 44c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Wyoming Cowboys | 44c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 43c | 52.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wyoming Cowboys | 55c | 50.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Wyoming Cowboys | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…dfb8backed Wyoming Cowboys | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wyoming Cowboys | 47c | 38.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d8…1053backed Wyoming Cowboys | 47c | 31.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed San Diego State Aztecs | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…4cd8backed San Diego State Aztecs | 75c | 18.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego State Aztecs vs. Wyoming Cowboysthis page
- San Diego State Aztecs vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego State Aztecs (-1.5)San Diego State Aztecs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.