Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Storm Hunter vs Ekaterine Gorgodze
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb177ef5a2e2d17075fb867848cccf54384b1f895851fe29d9c3a6527bbf419d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hunterof Hunter, Gorgodze
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Gorgodze | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.98 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Gorgodze | 39c | 3,374$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Hunter | 53c | 2,432$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.95 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hunter | 68c | 2,002$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.59 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Gorgodze | 50c | 799.99$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.14 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hunter | 58c | 628.55$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.08 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Hunter | 53c | 564.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hunter | 50c | 518.61$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.3 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Gorgodze | 20c | 470.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.02 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Gorgodze | 32c | 450$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Hunter | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Hunter | 53c | 373.58$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…c468backed Gorgodze | 37c | 298.72$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hunter | 49c | 285.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.84 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Hunter | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Gorgodze | 21c | 242.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Gorgodze | 16c | 188$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gorgodze | 28c | 183.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Hunter | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Hunter | 64c | 154.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Hunter | 64c | 130$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Hunter | 55c | 128.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Hunter | 64c | 128.13$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Hunter | 51c | 116.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Gorgodze | 24c | 105.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Hunter | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Gorgodze | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Gorgodze | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Hunter | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Gorgodze | 23c | 92.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Gorgodze | 26c | 88.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…925abacked Hunter | 53c | 75.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Hunter | 49c | 70.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…aa77backed Hunter | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea3…6190backed Hunter | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…c770backed Hunter | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Hunter | 50c | 54.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Gorgodze | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d8…1053backed Hunter | 58c | 52.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c5…deeebacked Gorgodze | 30c | 50.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Gorgodze | 41c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed Hunter | 52c | 42.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…1068backed Hunter | 66c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Hunter | 54c | 35.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Gorgodze | 39c | 35.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…7834backed Hunter | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Hunter | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…1e4dbacked Hunter | 53c | 26.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Storm Hunter vs Ekaterine Gorgodzethis page
- Set 1 Winner: Hunter vs GorgodzeHunter won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.