Tennis · resolved market
Hobart International: Peyton Stearns vs Barbora Krejcikova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb984e0e36b4fa2bb492b0d34cfe177aaf2683b6215861e1c902998a7a7adbbd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stearnsof Stearns, Krejcikova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Krejcikova | 36c | 9,455$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.29 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Stearns | 74c | 9,119$6,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.53 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stearns | 58c | 8,568$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,588.33 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Krejcikova | 22c | 4,109$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.55 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…d1abbacked Stearns | 77c | 3,982$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 68cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…fe8fbacked Krejcikova | 70c | 1,428$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Krejcikova | 34c | 1,425$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.15 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Stearns | 38c | 1,408$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.45 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Krejcikova | 51c | 1,255$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.2 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Stearns | 56c | 1,161$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.77 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Krejcikova | 34c | 1,082$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.92 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Krejcikova | 31c | 1,060$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.23 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stearns | 30c | 1,037$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.41 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Krejcikova | 28c | 1,003$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.6 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Krejcikova | 47c | 829.51$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.74 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Krejcikova | 33c | 811.4$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.46 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Stearns | 78c | 537.43$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.65 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Stearns | 65c | 487.14$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.54 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…db0ebacked Krejcikova | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Stearns | 76c | 331.11$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Stearns | 63c | 315.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.65 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…24d4backed Stearns | 79c | 300$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Krejcikova | 50c | 248.42$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.58 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stearns | 68c | 244.53$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Krejcikova | 32c | 240.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Stearns | 52c | 192.06$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Stearns | 57c | 175.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…2171backed Stearns | 64c | 156.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Krejcikova | 23c | 142.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c6…42a6backed Stearns | 63c | 138.42$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stearns | 69c | 136.31$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Krejcikova | 57c | 130$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Krejcikova | 37c | 116.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Krejcikova | 33c | 116.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Stearns | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Stearns | 78c | 100.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Krejcikova | 70c | 97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Krejcikova | 19c | 94.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Stearns | 79c | 88.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Krejcikova | 42c | 88.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Stearns | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…c974backed Krejcikova | 59c | 75.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Krejcikova | 57c | 73.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Krejcikova | 24c | 68.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked Krejcikova | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 63.5%87 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Krejcikova | 26c | 65.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed Krejcikova | 32c | 63.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Krejcikova | 27c | 63.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Krejcikova | 69c | 63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Krejcikova | 56c | 62.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Krejcikova | 41c | 59.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Krejcikova | 35c | 56.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Krejcikova | 31c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Krejcikova | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Krejcikova | 70c | 48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Krejcikova | 35c | 47.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Krejcikova | 53c | 47.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Krejcikova | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Stearns | 45c | 29.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…30e3backed Stearns | 64c | 27.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Krejcikova | 52c | 27.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed Stearns | 57c | 26.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…72a4backed Stearns | 73c | 25.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…1068backed Stearns | 77c | 24.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Krejcikova | 48c | 22.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…978abacked Stearns | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d8…1053backed Stearns | 73c | 14.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hobart International: Peyton Stearns vs Barbora Krejcikovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Stearns vs KrejcikovaStearns won
- Set Handicap: Krejcikova (-1.5) vs Stearns (+1.5)Stearns won
- Stearns vs. Krejcikova: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Stearns vs. Krejcikova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Stearns vs. Krejcikova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.