TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x19c6…42a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Mls, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.57
Portland Pilots vs. Pepperdine Wavesbacked Portland Pilots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25.88
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Kennesaw State Owlsbacked Florida International Golden Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$23.86
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Boston Terriersbacked Boston Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17.72
Chattanooga Mocs vs. Wofford Terriersbacked Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.86
Army Black Knights vs. Holy Cross Crusadersbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.2
Rhode Island Rams vs. VCU Rams (W)backed Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+41.7%+$22.57
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+43.8%+$18.07
New Orleans Privateers vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lionsbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.32
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.14
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Richmond Spidersbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+66.6%+$9.92
Memphis Tigers vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+63.3%+$18.46
USC Trojans vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+40.1%+$5.86
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Manhattan Jaspersbacked Canisius Golden Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+83.5%+$10.62
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-52.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+62.3%+$8.7
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.45
Devils vs. Jetsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.76
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+47.4%+$19.01
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
All 5 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+71.4%+$9.23
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.06
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$120.22
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+78.4%+$20.92
All 4 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+147%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+147%+$36.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs petardka (BO3)backed petardka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$37.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.