Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Memphis Tigers vs. Florida Atlantic Owls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce3519a6328b91cb8731d21dbc63c0119fb9bb557f1e2ac4a07c2b13b16ad362
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Atlantic Owlsof Memphis Tigers, Florida Atlantic Owls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 56c | 9,000$5,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 64c | 8,724$5,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,129.43 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Memphis Tigers | 8c | 7,412$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.17 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Memphis Tigers | 36c | 5,102$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.9 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Memphis Tigers | 44c | 5,082$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.88 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Memphis Tigers | 45c | 4,358$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.03 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Memphis Tigers | 8c | 4,044$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.75 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 56c | 1,607$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.14 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 72c | 1,391$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.45 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Memphis Tigers | 11c | 1,386$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.13 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Memphis Tigers | 44c | 1,382$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.95 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Memphis Tigers | 29c | 1,264$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.08 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Memphis Tigers | 35c | 1,165$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.73 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Memphis Tigers | 44c | 932.97$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.51 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 63c | 849.88$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.87 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…3d47backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 55c | 759$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Memphis Tigers | 26c | 635$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.25 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Memphis Tigers | 26c | 549.09$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.02 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Memphis Tigers | 19c | 498.31$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 54c | 462$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 68c | 343.56$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.94 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 77c | 301.05$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Memphis Tigers | 34c | 296.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 79c | 291.88$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Memphis Tigers | 37c | 272.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 54c | 259.65$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 62c | 259.25$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.74 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Memphis Tigers | 29c | 242.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Memphis Tigers | 44c | 212.75$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Memphis Tigers | 29c | 205$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Memphis Tigers | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…b807backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 56c | 178.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 60c | 162.5$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Memphis Tigers | 15c | 120.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Memphis Tigers | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Memphis Tigers | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Memphis Tigers | 44c | 99.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 55c | 93.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Memphis Tigers | 47c | 87.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 71c | 74.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Memphis Tigers | 46c | 68.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Memphis Tigers | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 68c | 50.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Memphis Tigers | 35c | 50.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 54c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c6…42a6backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 61c | 47.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 60c | 32.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Memphis Tigers | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 56c | 25.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d2…fa44backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 55c | 24.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbc…02f3backed Memphis Tigers | 45c | 24.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Memphis Tigers | 46c | 22.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d33…065cbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 74c | 22.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fa…543ebacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83a…3964backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 69c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Memphis Tigers vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsthis page
- Memphis Tigers vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 151.5Over won
- Memphis Tigers vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 152.5Over won
- Memphis Tigers vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 153.5Over won
- Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls (-2.5)Florida Atlantic Owls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.