Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Memphis Tigers vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 151.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d8bd00990dba4dc4408ed0ec33f41d38c007c49dbcdf8bfb6ee0064b731b497
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 52c | 3,072$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.56 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 2,848$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.62 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 2,724$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.86 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 54c | 2,498$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.3 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 678$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.94 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Over | 54c | 468$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.28 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 47c | 273.81$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.78 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 53c | 216$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 36c | 122$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 47c | 92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Over | 55c | 89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 50c | 48.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 57c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 56c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Over | 53c | 34.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Under | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 46c | 26.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 54c | 26.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 49c | 20.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 57c | 20.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Memphis Tigers vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 151.5this page
- Memphis Tigers vs. Florida Atlantic OwlsFlorida Atlantic Owls won
- Memphis Tigers vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 152.5Over won
- Memphis Tigers vs. Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 153.5Over won
- Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls (-2.5)Florida Atlantic Owls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.