Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Stanford Cardinal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f74f6b37a00b2819db41c8ad6fad18c8a75a3f6eb273f345690ce43cb28b3b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stanford Cardinalof North Carolina Tar Heels, Stanford Cardinal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Stanford Cardinal | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 64c | 14,368$9,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,134.33 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 64c | 13,089$8,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,391.59 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Stanford Cardinal | 37c | 7,247$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,588.34 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Stanford Cardinal | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 64c | 3,197$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.08 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Stanford Cardinal | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 63c | 2,892$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 31c | 1,749$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.18 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stanford Cardinal | 76c | 1,585$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.37 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Stanford Cardinal | 35c | 1,488$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.35 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 74c | 1,314$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.59 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 64c | 1,205$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Stanford Cardinal | 26c | 1,131$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.28 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…da26backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 4c | 1,063$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 68c | 1,000$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.23 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6089…00e2backed Stanford Cardinal | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stanford Cardinal | 38c | 899.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 9c | 800$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 79c | 768.64$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Stanford Cardinal | 33c | 667.15$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.15 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 70c | 661.71$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.03 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…780bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 64c | 603.13$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 13c | 600$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 10c | 600$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stanford Cardinal | 23c | 565.79$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.01 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 31c | 548.67$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.37 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Stanford Cardinal | 41c | 521.94$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.77 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Stanford Cardinal | 36c | 451.66$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.72 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703d…69fdbacked Stanford Cardinal | 30c | 372$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.94 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…d9f5backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 75c | 342.42$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stanford Cardinal | 33c | 336.21$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.46 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Stanford Cardinal | 29c | 329.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.3 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 33c | 327.29$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.28 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 70c | 326$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.2 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 61c | 316.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.59 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 10c | 306.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 39c | 300.4$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.75 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Stanford Cardinal | 35c | 284.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.07 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stanford Cardinal | 40c | 277.01$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.82 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Stanford Cardinal | 23c | 260$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.04 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 70c | 255.24$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.85 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eeb…3a88backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 14c | 249.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Stanford Cardinal | 44c | 248$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.88 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 61c | 234.07$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.78 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Stanford Cardinal | 25c | 209.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.63 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 57c | 203.68$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.46 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Stanford Cardinal | 40c | 160$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stanford Cardinal | 41c | 150.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 8c | 148.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Stanford Cardinal | 32c | 147.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 36c | 136.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Stanford Cardinal | 19c | 128.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.92 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stanford Cardinal | 46c | 126.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d9…e3e6backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 69c | 115.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…1e06backed Stanford Cardinal | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Stanford Cardinal | 46c | 105.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 56c | 105$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed Stanford Cardinal | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Stanford Cardinal | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Stanford Cardinal | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…f17dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Stanford Cardinal | 39c | 88.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Stanford Cardinal | 21c | 82.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stanford Cardinal | 23c | 69.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 56c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3c…b580backed Stanford Cardinal | 32c | 55.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +210.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…6b4cbacked Stanford Cardinal | 21c | 53.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…6678backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Stanford Cardinal | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…ee56backed Stanford Cardinal | 38c | 47.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 28c | 45.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Stanford Cardinal | 36c | 41.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Stanford Cardinal | 30c | 39.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 76c | 38.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x513e…a330backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 65c | 36.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 79c | 36.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd363…e6d1backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd7…88d8backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 58c | 31.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Stanford Cardinal | 38c | 28.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…6e74backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…4cd8backed Stanford Cardinal | 71c | 19.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…122abacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19c6…42a6backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 80c | 17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…8d28backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Stanford Cardinalthis page
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Stanford Cardinal: O/U 144.5Over won
- Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-3.5)Stanford Cardinal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.