TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd363…e6d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT3652.8%19 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-8.5)backed Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.02
Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-7.5)backed Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Northeastern Huskiesbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-5.5)backed Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saintsbacked Marist Red Foxes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+76.7%+$19.19
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Incarnate Word Cardinalsbacked East Texas A&M Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+48.3%+$14.5
Drexel Dragons vs. Towson Tigersbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU Ramsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+36.1%+$9.03
Iona Gaels vs. Saint Peter's Peacocksbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+59%+$14.76
Cornell Big Red vs. Brown Bears: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-7.5)backed Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Charlotte 49ers vs. East Carolina Piratesbacked Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-5.5)backed Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. South Alabama Jaguarsbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Little Rock Trojans: O/U 133.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Charleston Cougars vs. Towson Tigersbacked Towson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.98
California Baptist Lancers vs. Abilene Christian Wildcatsbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesbacked Queens (NC) Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+43.4%+$10.86
Maine Black Bears vs. Vermont Catamountsbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Youngstown State Penguins vs. Wright State Raidersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.5%+$15.1
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Cleveland State Vikingsbacked Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+52.7%+$13.17
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.98
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.17
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+37%+$9.25
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Colts vs. Titansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Falcons vs. Panthersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Sabres vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Sabres vs. Predatorsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+39%+$18.6
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Sharks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Canucks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.78
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Kraken vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Flames vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.76
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+50.4%+$17.64
Heat vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.64
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.47
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Kings vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-82.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+57.2%+$25.73
Will Donald Trump say "referendum" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+74.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-60.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+95.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+179.3%+$44.82
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Central Michigan vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+286.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+286.6%+$429.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+77.4%+$19.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$53.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.