South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f20a8c8fee19be00e287488a6a688bdc6c4036c68562fb9580a8e5817364b3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb48…fababacked Yes | 4c | 20,487$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 51c | 2,075$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.54 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 1,453$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.24 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 49c | 925.05$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.69 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 45c | 921.55$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.52 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes | 61c | 909.83$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 406.3$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 383.54$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.67 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…15c0backed Yes | 63c | 350$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -64%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 342.86$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.46 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 63c | 324.95$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.25 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 37c | 272.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.9 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 188.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.22 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…36ddbacked Yes | 63c | 158.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 64c | 120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked Yes | 15c | 118.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 62c | 113.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 49c | 108$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bb94backed No | 38c | 106.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 38c | 100.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 25c | 80.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…3d4abacked Yes | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 55c | 63.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 36c | 55.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 46c | 54.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed No | 38c | 42.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e96…b214backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6d…a980backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 32c | 32.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked No | 38c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd363…e6d1backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd508…2239backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…f38cbacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…a71abacked Yes | 70c | 29.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc284…912abacked Yes | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-11-22?No won
- Will SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.