Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Little Rock Trojans: O/U 133.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e15fb1c65b0320dbcc813693d1b7d67fca999bc3d61cfa9510320576d36418c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $675,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $675,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $675,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 587,391$303,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283,748.24 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 48c | 400,000$193,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193,500 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 48c | 96,333$46,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,239.77 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 67,627$33,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,813.29 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Under | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Under | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 17,703$8,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,497.43 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 50c | 11,820$5,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,931.77 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 11,037$5,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,387.74 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 50c | 3,015$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 2,888$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.42 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 2,785$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.63 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…0599backed Under | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 50c | 1,242$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.83 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 48c | 690.29$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.34 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 640$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 49c | 610.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 49c | 500$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.96 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +235.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 52c | 460$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75da…fc93backed Under | 50c | 443.58$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 49c | 421.38$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.48 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 50c | 390$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed Under | 49c | 312.12$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.54 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Under | 50c | 310.38$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Under | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Under | 49c | 229.41$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 51c | 217.12$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 182$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Under | 51c | 147.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…f0ccbacked Under | 50c | 124.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…1d14backed Under | 50c | 120.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 49c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…be5abacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Over | 52c | 117$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c11…b0e6backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 50c | 94.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 50c | 90.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecc…affebacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Under | 51c | 75.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Under | 50c | 65.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 48c | 51.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04c…b823backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 38.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf389…e45dbacked Under | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Under | 60c | 33.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…bd4bbacked Under | 51c | 31.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 48c | 30.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…61b7backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…6f40backed Under | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Under | 50c | 22.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under | 49c | 21.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3618…867cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd363…e6d1backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Little Rock Trojans: O/U 133.5this page
- Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Little Rock TrojansLittle Rock Trojans won
- Spread: Little Rock Trojans (-6.5)Little Rock Trojans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.