NFL · resolved market
Falcons vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98dde15f19b750936526d438b9920e325aece9d3e4144b71e276e96f557c1c49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Falcons, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $518,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $558,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $518,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Falcons | 61c | 80,003$49,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,002.21 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Falcons | 52c | 59,373$30,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,657.54 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Panthers | 32c | 50,854$16,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,581.04 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Panthers | 61c | 40,271$24,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,567.79 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Falcons | 68c | 36,552$24,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,855.36 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Panthers | 37c | 28,299$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,898.97 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Panthers | 32c | 23,650$7,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,081.99 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers | 42c | 22,110$9,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,718.49 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Panthers | 31c | 18,868$5,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,019.12 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…11eebacked Panthers | 32c | 17,855$5,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,141.23 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Panthers | 44c | 17,606$7,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,907.2 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Panthers | 65c | 13,276$8,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.74 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Panthers | 74c | 10,453$7,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Falcons | 67c | 9,000$6,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,049.48 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Panthers | 31c | 7,786$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,372.48 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Falcons | 22c | 7,684$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.29 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Falcons | 27c | 6,594$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Falcons | 69c | 6,203$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,280.07 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Falcons | 39c | 6,100$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Panthers | 32c | 5,763$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,918.68 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Panthers | 31c | 4,956$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.86 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Falcons | 68c | 4,513$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.53 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Panthers | 30c | 4,429$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.91 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Panthers | 34c | 4,346$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.74 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Falcons | 29c | 4,068$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.42 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Falcons | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Falcons | 47c | 3,999$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Falcons | 70c | 3,939$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…35d0backed Panthers | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Falcons | 69c | 3,426$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.27 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Panthers | 54c | 3,290$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.63 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…16babacked Falcons | 69c | 3,195$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed Panthers | 74c | 3,119$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Falcons | 70c | 3,020$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.98 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Panthers | 31c | 2,946$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Falcons | 27c | 2,614$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.63 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Falcons | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.05 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Panthers | 52c | 2,424$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.42 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Falcons | 42c | 2,333$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.97 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Panthers | 45c | 2,193$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.33 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Falcons | 69c | 2,174$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Panthers | 60c | 2,159$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.1 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…594abacked Falcons | 52c | 2,065$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.33 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Falcons | 68c | 2,059$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Panthers | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f67…03fcbacked Falcons | 69c | 1,900$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Falcons | 16c | 1,883$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 64c | 1,844$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.59 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Panthers | 32c | 1,738$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.5 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2441…a2f5backed Panthers | 32c | 1,700$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Panthers | 34c | 1,540$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.13 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Falcons | 68c | 1,516$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Falcons | 70c | 1,499$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.51 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Falcons | 68c | 1,499$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Falcons | 67c | 1,474$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.33 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Panthers | 30c | 1,470$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.21 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…7926backed Falcons | 68c | 1,470$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Falcons | 68c | 1,469$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.98 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers | 35c | 1,454$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.15 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…2d2dbacked Falcons | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Falcons | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c55…ef1abacked Falcons | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Panthers | 59c | 1,427$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.47 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…c07fbacked Falcons | 23c | 1,400$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Panthers | 30c | 1,390$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.22 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Falcons | 1c | 1,372$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Panthers | 33c | 1,365$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.24 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Falcons | 59c | 1,218$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.96 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Panthers | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.12 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Falcons | 2c | 1,034$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Falcons | 34c | 1,026$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Panthers | 72c | 1,011$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.08 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Falcons | 67c | 1,000$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.5 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Panthers | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Panthers | 31c | 999.96$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.97 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Panthers | 38c | 988.1$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.71 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7d…4d56backed Falcons | 69c | 900$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Panthers | 56c | 893.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.39 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Falcons | 73c | 836.84$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Falcons | 47c | 801.61$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.38 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Falcons | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Panthers | 75c | 786.28$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.57 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…dd2fbacked Falcons | 27c | 750$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…3b61backed Falcons | 41c | 750$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…c353backed Falcons | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…85f4backed Falcons | 51c | 679.85$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…1880backed Falcons | 32c | 669.5$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Falcons | 69c | 650$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Panthers | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Panthers | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…61b1backed Falcons | 68c | 617.65$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Panthers | 32c | 600$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked Falcons | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…c9cbbacked Falcons | 12c | 599.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Panthers | 31c | 580$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…f7b2backed Falcons | 45c | 578.51$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Panthers | 55c | 577$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.16 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Falcons | 47c | 571.95$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Falcons | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Falcons vs. Panthersthis page
- ATL vs. CAR: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: ATL (-4.5)CAR won
- Spread: ATL (-6.5)CAR won
- Spread: ATL (-7.5)CAR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.