NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 51.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23b8460970fc2b8a062577b161ffa412681327c310c881bf183507ae5d39bb3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $603,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $733,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $603,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 51c | 109,114$55,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,465.79 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 49c | 100,286$48,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,728.21 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 84,238$41,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,058.39 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 52c | 75,000$39,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,999.99 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 52c | 72,027$37,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,713.75 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 48c | 63,757$30,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,603.49 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 51c | 60,627$31,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,407.22 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Over | 48c | 59,685$28,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,649 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 37,873$18,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,306.66 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Under | 52c | 21,881$11,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,503 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 16,392$8,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,900.27 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 11,500$5,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,544.98 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Over | 48c | 11,340$5,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,443.15 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…6e34backed Over | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Over | 48c | 8,000$3,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,860 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 7,596$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,646 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 17c | 6,480$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.94 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Over | 49c | 6,120$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 48c | 5,060$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.8 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 4,283$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.4 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 3,423$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.21 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 48c | 3,106$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.68 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 50c | 2,919$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.54 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Under | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 2,478$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.63 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Over | 18c | 2,400$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…87aebacked Over | 48c | 2,004$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa511…18a3backed Under | 69c | 1,943$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.63 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.04 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 1,802$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.72 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 8c | 1,593$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.84 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 52c | 1,576$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.68 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 48c | 1,513$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 48c | 1,344$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.12 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 31c | 1,216$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.06 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 52c | 1,212$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.36 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x072d…0d35backed Over | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Over | 17c | 1,013$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdb…6f6bbacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 47c | 899.74$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.88 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Over | 9c | 842.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Over | 49c | 832.65$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…7b49backed Under | 52c | 826.92$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 80c | 755$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Under | 52c | 686.87$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Over | 9c | 650$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…70e4backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x456b…09dcbacked Over | 36c | 600$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c88…bc5bbacked Under | 52c | 598.6$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 59c | 577.95$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.93 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 52c | 520$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 516.31$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.67 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…657ebacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…007bbacked Over | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.67 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…b1e0backed Over | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d1…663fbacked Under | 52c | 492.75$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked Over | 4c | 458.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…f7e0backed Over | 49c | 452.82$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 52c | 417.83$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Over | 48c | 412.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0316…e283backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 71c | 338$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 79c | 332.56$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 28c | 323.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.73 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 52c | 308$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 51c | 300$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Over | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Under | 51c | 294.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.71 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 17c | 269$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…6defbacked Over | 9c | 255.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…e11bbacked Under | 52c | 251.27$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac7…bf06backed Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 51c | 245$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df1…54ccbacked Over | 10c | 227.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -78%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 52c | 207.69$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.69 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Over | 13c | 199.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 51.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bills (-0.5)Bills won
- Bills vs. JaguarsBills won
- Bills vs. Jaguars: 1H MoneylineBills won
- Bills vs. Jaguars: 1H O/U 24.5Under won
- Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 47.5Over won
- Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 48.5Over won
- Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 50.5Over won
- Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 54.5Under won
- Parker Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Bills (-1.5)Bills won
- Spread: Bills (-2.5)Bills won
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Bills (-4.5)Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.