TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: South Florida Bulls (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wichita State Shockersof South Florida Bulls, Wichita State Shockers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$755,452
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$810,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $755,452 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed South Florida Bulls54c605,557$326,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326,369.4735945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Wichita State Shockers46c400,000$184,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216,00021754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Wichita State Shockers46c112,547$51,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,775.268246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Wichita State Shockers47c50,005$23,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,502.3969142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Wichita State Shockers48c41,527$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,527.3512754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked South Florida Bulls52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,4007237.5%27 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Wichita State Shockers46c11,686$5,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,310.643154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked South Florida Bulls52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Wichita State Shockers48c8,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20016954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed South Florida Bulls53c7,100$3,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,76310441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Wichita State Shockers51c6,948$3,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,414.966543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked South Florida Bulls52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1205160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Wichita State Shockers47c5,924$2,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,139.7428539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked South Florida Bulls49c4,279$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.124,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Wichita State Shockers50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50021248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Wichita State Shockers47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Wichita State Shockers50c2,817$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.775044%22 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked South Florida Bulls51c2,248$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.1612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Wichita State Shockers48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3325556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Wichita State Shockers46c1,535$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.911555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked South Florida Bulls54c1,394$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.596445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked South Florida Bulls50c1,282$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.775,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Wichita State Shockers48c1,120$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.43941%16 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wichita State Shockers46c1,069$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.282,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Wichita State Shockers48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3311946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Wichita State Shockers50c800.2$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.255749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed South Florida Bulls32c747.38$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.122,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef34…86b2backed Wichita State Shockers48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3254047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d0…6078backed Wichita State Shockers47c540.76$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.61947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Wichita State Shockers48c430.16$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.6811159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Wichita State Shockers47c424.35$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9118046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Wichita State Shockers48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.413851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Wichita State Shockers46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21610047%47 W · 53 L+8.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed South Florida Bulls53c379.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005949.2%29 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…b61fbacked Wichita State Shockers53c366.58$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wichita State Shockers47c354.65$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.955,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed South Florida Bulls53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016248.1%78 W · 84 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Wichita State Shockers47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.773951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Wichita State Shockers48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3319657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Wichita State Shockers48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1047957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fd5…9c28backed Wichita State Shockers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-71.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf74a…a91cbacked Wichita State Shockers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Wichita State Shockers47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.289146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x982e…7657backed Wichita State Shockers47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.51850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed South Florida Bulls36c147.05$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5748051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed South Florida Bulls51c133.53$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.041,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Wichita State Shockers50c132$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Wichita State Shockers48c129.62$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.412358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b46…5695backed Wichita State Shockers48c114.58$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Wichita State Shockers48c112.45$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4741752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed South Florida Bulls52c111.38$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8797447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x670b…2c75backed Wichita State Shockers46c108.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.92040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Wichita State Shockers46c104.56$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4612341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Wichita State Shockers48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1718656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a9a…989abacked Wichita State Shockers49c102.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.513542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Wichita State Shockers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa60d…2204backed Wichita State Shockers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-35.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Wichita State Shockers46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5414654.1%79 W · 67 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdafd…807fbacked South Florida Bulls51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.0wins-0.30per pick54cpaid-60.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Wichita State Shockers47c80.08$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.449257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Wichita State Shockers47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.462753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Wichita State Shockers50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Wichita State Shockers48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.66159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Wichita State Shockers50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked South Florida Bulls53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.415156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Wichita State Shockers49c77.37$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.629045.6%41 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed South Florida Bulls51c76.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2535050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Wichita State Shockers40c74.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1518646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5613…d53bbacked Wichita State Shockers68c73.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.421275%9 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Wichita State Shockers48c73.14$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.037251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad4…d6c1backed Wichita State Shockers69c72.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.373100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaa5…a759backed Wichita State Shockers69c72.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.371070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed South Florida Bulls54c71.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.597450%37 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92bf…0f9bbacked South Florida Bulls54c71.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.594146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4461…392abacked Wichita State Shockers70c71.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.345100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ec5…2444backed Wichita State Shockers70c71.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.347100%7 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0243…f72cbacked Wichita State Shockers69c69.16$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.15966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4d…e0d0backed South Florida Bulls74c67.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.79771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick72cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd05a…bf53backed Wichita State Shockers50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7858…eb9dbacked Wichita State Shockers50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa26f…4b98backed Wichita State Shockers48c56.44$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.352759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed South Florida Bulls53c56.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7619653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee53…7d97backed South Florida Bulls54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…a77bbacked Wichita State Shockers48c54.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.265356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Wichita State Shockers47c52.09$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.615950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Wichita State Shockers48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.082133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x079a…8fbabacked Wichita State Shockers46c51.61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.871833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked South Florida Bulls54c50.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.23246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed South Florida Bulls39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.54833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ad…c3c9backed Wichita State Shockers50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed South Florida Bulls53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.71,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Wichita State Shockers47c48.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.942540%10 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3603…9975backed Wichita State Shockers48c48.61$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.281442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked South Florida Bulls54c47.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.534,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Wichita State Shockers47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.556755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Wichita State Shockers48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6728354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd363…e6d1backed Wichita State Shockers69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.233652.8%19 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab3…35f3backed Wichita State Shockers48c34.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.193860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1956…1352backed Wichita State Shockers60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed South Florida Bulls53c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.966743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.