NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe33c8ae35bd116c70110684be1f75fdabcd16807ded293c1e4d3f86d4d2422ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Bruins, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,958,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,991,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,958,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Bruins | 34c | 500,684$170,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170,232.7 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Lightning | 67c | 500,000$334,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,133.52 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Lightning | 66c | 406,147$267,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,733.4 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Bruins | 34c | 264,925$89,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,074.16 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lightning | 65c | 263,023$170,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,058.06 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Bruins | 35c | 143,000$50,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,050 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bruins | 35c | 111,296$39,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,352.66 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bruins | 66c | 101,328$66,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,828.64 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…3b3ebacked Lightning | 66c | 80,000$52,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Lightning | 33c | 70,317$23,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,865.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Lightning | 66c | 70,000$46,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,800 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Bruins | 69c | 64,318$44,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,389.45 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bruins | 66c | 40,097$26,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,463.89 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Bruins | 68c | 38,798$26,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,334.84 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Lightning | 65c | 35,894$23,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,701.47 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bruins | 45c | 32,787$14,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,917.69 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Lightning | 66c | 30,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Lightning | 66c | 30,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.97 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…76febacked Lightning | 66c | 22,120$14,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,520.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bruins | 34c | 20,741$7,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,051.81 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Bruins | 33c | 20,037$6,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,631.58 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Bruins | 33c | 19,698$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500.34 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Lightning | 29c | 19,246$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,665.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Lightning | 65c | 18,888$12,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,610.8 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Lightning | 66c | 17,542$11,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,964.28 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Lightning | 37c | 17,399$6,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,938 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Bruins | 35c | 16,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Lightning | 66c | 15,555$10,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,288.7 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Bruins | 66c | 15,000$9,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,930 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Lightning | 12c | 13,892$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,175.76 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Lightning | 66c | 12,545$8,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.45 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Bruins | 35c | 12,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Bruins | 66c | 10,000$6,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,620 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Bruins | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lightning | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.99 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bruins | 43c | 9,247$4,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007.62 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Lightning | 54c | 9,178$4,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.12 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Lightning | 66c | 9,091$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.91 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Bruins | 47c | 8,572$4,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,008.27 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Lightning | 58c | 8,343$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.79 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bruins | 34c | 8,181$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.19 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Lightning | 65c | 8,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lightning | 28c | 7,759$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,579.79 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Lightning | 29c | 7,576$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,395.59 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Bruins | 34c | 6,500$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lightning | 66c | 6,268$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.25 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 65c | 6,026$3,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.37 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Lightning | 65c | 5,536$3,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.71 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Lightning | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Bruins | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Lightning | 34c | 4,849$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.67 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Bruins | 35c | 4,760$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Lightning | 47c | 4,696$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.38 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Lightning | 65c | 4,580$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.99 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Bruins | 35c | 4,562$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.27 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Lightning | 33c | 4,433$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.38 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bruins | 48c | 4,363$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Bruins | 34c | 4,294$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bruins | 57c | 4,140$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.05 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Bruins | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lightning | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 66c | 3,873$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.82 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bruins | 34c | 3,333$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.22 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bruins | 33c | 3,180$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.87 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Bruins | 35c | 3,143$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Lightning | 22c | 3,074$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.18 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Lightning | 54c | 3,044$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.46 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bruins | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Lightning | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Bruins | 34c | 2,945$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.3 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Bruins | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lightning | 68c | 2,753$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.89 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Bruins | 23c | 2,711$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.44 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Bruins | 6c | 2,693$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.29 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Lightning | 7c | 2,593$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.02 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Bruins | 53c | 2,503$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.63 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Bruins | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…6dd0backed Bruins | 65c | 2,490$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Lightning | 78c | 2,450$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.75 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…8c89backed Bruins | 66c | 2,394$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.62 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Lightning | 33c | 2,365$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.01 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Bruins | 71c | 2,345$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Lightning | 36c | 2,344$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.82 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Lightning | 66c | 2,273$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.73 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Lightning | 66c | 2,081$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.67 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lightning | 28c | 2,063$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.2 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lightning | 68c | 2,019$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.41 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Bruins | 33c | 2,003$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.09 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bruins | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Lightning | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Bruins | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Lightning | 66c | 2,000$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Lightning | 34c | 1,971$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Bruins | 47c | 1,904$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.53 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bruins | 33c | 1,884$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.64 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…5a02backed Bruins | 71c | 1,838$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Bruins | 34c | 1,800$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bruins | 58c | 1,774$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.62 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Bruins | 35c | 1,723$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Lightning | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Lightningthis page
- Bruins vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.