TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 149.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$756,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$756,251

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $756,707 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over53c574,731$306,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268,489.4435945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under47c500,000$232,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232,560.2721754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under47c81,527$38,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,632.8721262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over54c50,000$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,0009860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00012754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under47c27,786$13,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,059.2769142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over50c25,212$12,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,528.1924748.2%119 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Over52c22,500$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,699.7478155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2148…0599backed Under49c12,707$6,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,226.591040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under48c11,450$5,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,515.9916954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under47c7,777$3,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,655.1913154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00025556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4505843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over54c4,966$2,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.191,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Under51c4,670$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.712147.9%58 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under49c4,590$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24914654.1%79 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under46c3,818$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.1889850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under46c3,486$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.561,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47012358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Under49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2256758.2%39 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under51c2,451$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2502871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under50c2,392$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.7718844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under49c2,097$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.2332751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00028539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Over51c1,957$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.576544.6%29 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under49c1,623$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.444266.7%28 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under51c1,395$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7055959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under50c1,198$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over50c1,174$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58763551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9911946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f3e…380cbacked Under51c770.24$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.773554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under49c770.22$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.9511159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32282048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under46c604.89$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.2555840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under49c519.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.86159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Under48c517.47$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.53961.5%24 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Under49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2407957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24513735%48 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505054%27 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under49c499.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2458750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e4…00bdbacked Under51c494.12$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c423$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.584,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015447.4%73 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1656444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under49c323.96$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2710049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Under48c290.59$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.863366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Under51c287.75$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.754445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c280.18$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Over53c264.12$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0341354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked Under49c237.06$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.16837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under49c224.91$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11019657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over53c223.73$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9869350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.226740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Under51c201.96$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Under48c172.77$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.464951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e30…bbfebacked Under49c168.39$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.511330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under49c157.14$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7711449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7262753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7832…a994backed Under48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724868.8%33 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under49c126.83$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1517258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Under49c125.89$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.265950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c118.81$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.414,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.384353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under49c112.46$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5518656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4b7…793dbacked Under47c105.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.682850%14 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab3…35f3backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x433f…1accbacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Under49c97.78$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9111858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13a5…567dbacked Under48c87.6$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.681241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over52c82.48$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.599543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Under51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed Under51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.925,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x46bb…6d65backed Under49c71.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.281850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Under48c66.06$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9912560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x343b…d892backed Under50c65.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Under48c61.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.299257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0925…462cbacked Under46c61.28$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.191435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-31.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Under50c59.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1206…eaeebacked Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a1…7066backed Under50c58.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.041136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb855…c1bebacked Under46c57.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1182…3751backed Under48c50.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.245549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33f3…d80abacked Under43c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.491136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2316755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2334649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd363…e6d1backed Under51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253652.8%19 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xece7…3673backed Under49c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ed…86afbacked Under47c42.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214544.4%20 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.