NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x822164c2ce449913eb8e9021e209757ee8a1042e93953853708b0f50452c04ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,652,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,901,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,652,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,916 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d89…b02cbacked Rockets | 38c | 525,944$199,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199,858.88 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Thunder | 62c | 430,357$267,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163,285.65 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Rockets | 37c | 273,223$102,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,314.8 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Thunder | 62c | 261,000$161,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,170 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb4…d892backed Rockets | 37c | 224,706$84,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,241.07 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rockets | 38c | 107,286$40,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,768.76 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Thunder | 62c | 99,431$61,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,114.81 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Rockets | 38c | 98,067$37,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,265.58 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 62c | 96,645$60,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,270.53 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Thunder | 62c | 86,742$53,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,961.92 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Thunder | 71c | 69,930$49,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,984.5 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Rockets | 36c | 62,412$22,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,468.45 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Thunder | 62c | 53,750$33,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,425 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets | 37c | 52,581$19,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,627.71 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets | 39c | 50,460$19,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,522.09 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Thunder | 62c | 50,000$31,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,999.94 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder | 62c | 47,826$29,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,173.76 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Thunder | 62c | 40,000$24,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,099.97 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Thunder | 63c | 40,000$25,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,799.97 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 39c | 38,447$14,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,885.23 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Thunder | 62c | 38,286$23,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,548.64 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Rockets | 38c | 37,011$14,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,064.02 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Rockets | 32c | 31,742$10,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,077.49 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Rockets | 25c | 30,800$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Thunder | 62c | 27,467$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,466.65 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 62c | 24,459$15,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,195.88 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Rockets | 37c | 23,938$8,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,976.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Rockets | 29c | 22,841$6,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,621.87 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Rockets | 7c | 22,679$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.82 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 63c | 21,450$13,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,936.41 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Rockets | 38c | 21,400$8,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,131.94 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder | 62c | 20,512$12,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,794.48 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Rockets | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Thunder | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Rockets | 38c | 20,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.98 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 69c | 18,857$13,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,807.43 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Rockets | 36c | 18,658$6,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,790.98 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rockets | 37c | 18,000$6,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,659.94 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Thunder | 64c | 17,103$10,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,187.88 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Rockets | 38c | 17,000$6,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,460 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…0b2ebacked Thunder | 62c | 16,983$10,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,453.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Thunder | 61c | 16,400$10,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,396 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Rockets | 37c | 15,588$5,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,767.72 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Thunder | 63c | 13,699$8,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,068.65 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Rockets | 36c | 13,343$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845.1 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Thunder | 63c | 12,947$8,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,790.57 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 65c | 12,930$8,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,467.61 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Rockets | 39c | 12,577$4,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,904.84 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Thunder | 68c | 11,977$8,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,802.92 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Thunder | 64c | 11,513$7,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,192.63 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +10.8wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Rockets | 37c | 11,353$4,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200.58 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Thunder | 62c | 10,036$6,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,808.18 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rockets | 37c | 10,019$3,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,722.6 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Rockets | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.33 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Thunder | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Rockets | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Thunder | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Rockets | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.97 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…de14backed Thunder | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…7e91backed Rockets | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Rockets | 37c | 9,999$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.63 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Thunder | 62c | 9,999$6,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 62c | 9,185$5,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Thunder | 61c | 9,000$5,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 64c | 8,961$5,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,257.95 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Rockets | 37c | 8,751$3,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.87 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 24c | 8,747$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.69 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 71c | 8,725$6,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Thunder | 62c | 8,533$5,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.84 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Thunder | 64c | 8,398$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.27 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Rockets | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Thunder | 64c | 7,881$5,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.03 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Thunder | 64c | 7,813$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.5 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets | 36c | 7,555$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.85 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets | 18c | 7,387$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.05 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Rockets | 28c | 7,337$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.02 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…6611backed Rockets | 36c | 7,236$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc7…a83cbacked Rockets | 37c | 7,110$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Rockets | 36c | 7,054$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.44 | 83 | 71.1%59 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Thunder | 63c | 7,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…3d34backed Thunder | 63c | 6,986$4,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.71 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 39c | 6,976$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.64 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Thunder | 62c | 6,897$4,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.55 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 63c | 6,830$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.52 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Rockets | 37c | 6,830$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.09 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Thunder | 62c | 6,679$4,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.02 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Thunder | 62c | 6,452$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.61 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 34c | 6,256$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Thunder | 61c | 6,210$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.05 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Thunder | 68c | 6,120$4,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.6 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Rockets | 32c | 5,918$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.05 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…01b0backed Thunder | 62c | 5,800$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Rockets | 37c | 5,755$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.84 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…d88ebacked Thunder | 63c | 5,556$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.56 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Rockets | 37c | 5,555$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.35 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Rockets | 1c | 5,212$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Rockets | 1c | 5,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Rockets | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Rocketsthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.