NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe26a9a04fa52a3d7edb23c6bbe2e712d1e7c2d03daf5b9b9a43147ddac5ed329
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 50c | 7,551$3,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775.5 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 6,898$3,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,365.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 52c | 6,718$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.16 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 5,956$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be2…a92fbacked Under | 49c | 5,589$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd16d…914fbacked Under | 49c | 5,535$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb217…97ebbacked Over | 51c | 5,110$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8947…ac5abacked Over | 51c | 4,663$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…f08ebacked Under | 49c | 4,653$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…d131backed Under | 49c | 4,460$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ca…9117backed Under | 49c | 4,379$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…0b67backed Under | 49c | 4,356$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…2b8abacked Over | 51c | 4,332$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5f…43c1backed Over | 51c | 4,023$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45c…fd63backed Under | 49c | 4,011$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312e…c47dbacked Under | 49c | 3,993$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under | 51c | 3,920$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.8 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31f…935abacked Over | 51c | 3,652$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fd…da4bbacked Under | 49c | 3,524$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 2,992$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.05 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c8…bb09backed Under | 49c | 2,800$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 2,296$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.2 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…f964backed Over | 51c | 2,133$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…f469backed Over | 51c | 2,044$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee0…3045backed Over | 51c | 2,026$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0375…a9cbbacked Over | 51c | 2,022$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…de67backed Over | 51c | 2,011$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6895…9366backed Over | 51c | 1,885$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe643…f806backed Over | 51c | 1,773$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…7166backed Under | 49c | 1,593$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda52…ff26backed Over | 51c | 1,574$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3781…95a5backed Under | 49c | 1,563$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0b…04cfbacked Under | 49c | 1,555$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e36…69f5backed Over | 51c | 1,545$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…739ebacked Over | 51c | 1,535$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…7800backed Over | 51c | 1,532$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…9a7dbacked Over | 51c | 1,505$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…3ebabacked Under | 49c | 1,475$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…7e0ebacked Over | 51c | 1,426$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea11…551abacked Over | 49c | 1,382$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…7a01backed Under | 51c | 1,382$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.99 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…f7c0backed Under | 49c | 1,375$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c9…16e0backed Under | 49c | 1,356$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…2143backed Under | 49c | 1,302$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a5…10c3backed Under | 49c | 1,291$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…b7c2backed Over | 51c | 1,255$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2908…c6f1backed Over | 51c | 1,255$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…fb9dbacked Over | 51c | 1,221$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d2…e1e0backed Over | 51c | 1,221$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93df…7d13backed Under | 49c | 1,187$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e8…156dbacked Over | 51c | 1,179$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa09f…d026backed Under | 49c | 1,145$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15df…ff29backed Under | 49c | 1,112$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…f3c8backed Over | 51c | 1,077$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab47…80cfbacked Over | 51c | 1,064$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7c…a593backed Over | 51c | 1,054$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Under | 50c | 1,045$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…0da9backed Over | 51c | 1,045$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3418…fdd6backed Over | 51c | 1,044$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…e020backed Under | 49c | 1,036$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…e6a6backed Over | 51c | 1,034$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…5082backed Over | 51c | 1,024$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…22f3backed Over | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…f923backed Over | 51c | 999$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b07…9d4cbacked Under | 49c | 893$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +69%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6605…88a3backed Under | 49c | 881$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 805$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.4 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…5cf4backed Over | 51c | 779$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Over | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 14c | 433$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…c068backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Under | 51c | 270.59$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.59 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 52c | 243.39$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 55c | 216.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked Under | 52c | 200.15$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 51c | 195.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 135.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Over | 48c | 134.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 127.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 49c | 111.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…1e75backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec2…ab59backed Over | 52c | 91.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 50c | 84.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 82.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…7d4cbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…0a55backed Over | 50c | 70.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. RocketsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.