NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d443836681929fce0405b5864ed340f4c106127960d4b000313cd5e781d49a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Rockets | 55c | 8,367$4,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,602 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 45c | 7,927$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,359.69 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Thunder | 45c | 6,185$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.75 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe296…6f34backed Thunder | 45c | 6,013$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,307.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 54c | 5,449$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Thunder | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e96…59f1backed Rockets | 52c | 4,836$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b98…38a5backed Thunder | 45c | 3,804$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa265…f0e3backed Rockets | 55c | 3,293$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1e…37ebbacked Thunder | 45c | 3,250$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…1103backed Rockets | 55c | 3,100$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4081…d9fbbacked Rockets | 55c | 3,067$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Thunder | 46c | 2,999$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.46 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rockets | 54c | 2,948$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.74 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 61c | 2,839$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.42 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Rockets | 56c | 2,207$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.92 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90a…2241backed Thunder | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 52c | 2,194$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.88 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…58e4backed Rockets | 55c | 2,125$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Thunder | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.15 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…3d66backed Rockets | 55c | 2,012$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…b80dbacked Rockets | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84e9…0270backed Rockets | 55c | 1,993$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 48c | 1,990$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.96 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61cf…9c90backed Rockets | 55c | 1,773$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc2…b6bbbacked Rockets | 55c | 1,750$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…8d41backed Thunder | 45c | 1,700$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…d897backed Rockets | 55c | 1,688$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rockets | 49c | 1,309$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.13 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…0558backed Thunder | 45c | 1,273$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…97f1backed Thunder | 45c | 1,203$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 45c | 1,117$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.46 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…afa3backed Thunder | 45c | 1,109$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…6ce8backed Thunder | 45c | 1,017$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Rockets | 55c | 1,006$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.6 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Rockets | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…e9aabacked Thunder | 45c | 911$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Rockets | 56c | 893.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7688…1438backed Thunder | 45c | 847$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db0…4f0dbacked Rockets | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed Thunder | 45c | 765$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.34 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f1…04e9backed Rockets | 53c | 760.57$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.55 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked Thunder | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Thunder | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Rockets | 54c | 662.4$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.35 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Thunder | 44c | 524$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.44 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 48c | 503.07$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.64 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Thunder | 45c | 502.52$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.41 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac74…f4dcbacked Thunder | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Thunder | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Rockets | 53c | 456.57$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.74 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Rockets | 52c | 444.23$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Rockets | 52c | 413.46$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Rockets | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Rockets | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Thunder | 46c | 362.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.55 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 47c | 332.83$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 45c | 331.42$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.07 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Rockets | 55c | 287$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Rockets | 44c | 270.44$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 47c | 264$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.27 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…04d6backed Thunder | 57c | 262.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.9 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Rockets | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Rockets | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e78…bc8dbacked Rockets | 54c | 242.1$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Rockets | 51c | 235$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…b06ebacked Rockets | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 45c | 229.18$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ebe6backed Rockets | 55c | 226$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Rockets | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Rockets | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 46c | 199.3$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.23 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…5685backed Rockets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b51…25f1backed Rockets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 51c | 185.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.95 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Rockets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Rockets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Rockets | 57c | 175.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Rockets | 29c | 166$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Rockets | 52c | 125.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Rockets | 52c | 112$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Thunder | 72c | 112$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Thunder | 50c | 100.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Thunder | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Thunder | 48c | 98.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Thunder | 49c | 94.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Rockets | 49c | 85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Rockets | 53c | 77.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Thunder | 49c | 76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 63c | 73.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Rockets | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 49c | 62.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Rockets | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Rockets | 53c | 56.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Thunder | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Thunder | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122e…a67dbacked Rockets | 57c | 52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…d69ebacked Thunder | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Thunder | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Thunder | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. RocketsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.