NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a4f9665043dd94e456064e7a8e8ef7e982d3dcb3ffbee1368315d61adbe7855
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $726,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $729,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $726,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Thunder | 50c | 249,346$124,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,778.38 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rockets | 50c | 127,777$63,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,888.5 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Thunder | 51c | 75,000$38,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,949.93 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Thunder | 52c | 68,126$35,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,700.37 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets | 50c | 46,002$23,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,001.09 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rockets | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000.01 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 49c | 30,774$15,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,697.52 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Thunder | 50c | 24,301$12,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,150.27 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Rockets | 51c | 23,292$11,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,780.16 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Rockets | 50c | 22,442$11,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,219.67 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Rockets | 51c | 22,074$11,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,240 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Rockets | 49c | 20,052$9,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,825.49 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Rockets | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Thunder | 53c | 18,780$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,779.59 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Rockets | 51c | 15,109$7,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,705.59 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 50c | 13,403$6,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,701.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…b8f8backed Rockets | 51c | 12,926$6,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,592.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Rockets | 47c | 12,000$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rockets | 48c | 11,517$5,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,545.63 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Rockets | 48c | 11,042$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Rockets | 51c | 10,100$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Thunder | 53c | 9,484$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,483.78 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 48c | 9,272$4,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,448.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 47c | 8,937$4,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,219.38 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Rockets | 48c | 8,442$4,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,051 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Thunder | 53c | 8,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Rockets | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.97 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Rockets | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 49c | 7,655$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,904.03 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Rockets | 48c | 7,604$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets | 48c | 7,455$3,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,578.58 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…5cf4backed Thunder | 49c | 6,126$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…22f3backed Thunder | 49c | 6,054$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d2…e1e0backed Thunder | 50c | 6,018$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…f923backed Thunder | 50c | 6,006$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b0…3d78backed Thunder | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 45c | 5,888$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.26 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Rockets | 51c | 5,544$2,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827.28 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 48c | 5,532$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.38 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Rockets | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc35…62debacked Rockets | 51c | 4,900$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 50c | 4,826$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.81 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…0319backed Thunder | 49c | 4,600$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe1…f8f0backed Rockets | 51c | 4,600$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Thunder | 52c | 4,593$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.62 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e96…59f1backed Rockets | 48c | 4,435$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb7…1eb2backed Rockets | 51c | 4,300$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf854…8303backed Thunder | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…3924backed Thunder | 49c | 3,511$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Rockets | 48c | 3,458$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.8 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2243…74a6backed Rockets | 52c | 3,269$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Rockets | 48c | 3,200$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 49c | 3,142$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Rockets | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa184…e503backed Rockets | 51c | 2,964$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Rockets | 51c | 2,963$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 65c | 2,910$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.6 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Thunder | 50c | 2,816$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.9 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Rockets | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…a94fbacked Rockets | 52c | 2,692$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312e…c47dbacked Rockets | 50c | 2,256$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…f964backed Rockets | 51c | 2,255$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…7e0ebacked Rockets | 50c | 2,211$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5f…4747backed Thunder | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Rockets | 51c | 2,198$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…55b3backed Rockets | 50c | 2,160$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2908…c6f1backed Rockets | 51c | 2,122$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ca…9117backed Rockets | 51c | 2,012$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…0b67backed Rockets | 50c | 2,011$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…0da9backed Rockets | 50c | 1,993$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56e8…156dbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,989$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Thunder | 49c | 1,980$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.8 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8014…5959backed Thunder | 49c | 1,936$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0375…a9cbbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,923$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe45c…fd63backed Rockets | 51c | 1,879$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6895…9366backed Rockets | 50c | 1,874$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9d…dc02backed Rockets | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rockets | 48c | 1,702$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.96 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d6…64c6backed Rockets | 51c | 1,700$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe643…f806backed Rockets | 50c | 1,679$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…c079backed Rockets | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.02 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…fd2dbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,489$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Rockets | 48c | 1,450$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea69…7f7cbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dea…1b7cbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,357$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 51c | 1,252$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.51 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bb…b391backed Rockets | 51c | 1,126$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Thunder | 52c | 1,060$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.8 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Rockets | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rockets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Thunder | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Rockets | 51c | 975.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Rockets | 48c | 954.48$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.15 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Thunder | 50c | 918.12$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.61 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Rockets | 46c | 694.5$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.52 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Thunder | 54c | 661.83$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.44 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Thunder | 48c | 654.82$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.82 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. RocketsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.