NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0c2734f872cda93d85a47c25be199359612103aeabb42aab31fdfbb7ff70680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 4,534$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…34b8backed Over | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…6ce8backed Under | 54c | 3,250$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3192…f9e3backed Over | 46c | 3,250$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…1fbbbacked Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d3…f5dcbacked Under | 54c | 2,950$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4081…d9fbbacked Over | 46c | 2,800$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Under | 56c | 2,505$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.32 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…e9aabacked Under | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa265…f0e3backed Over | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7688…1438backed Over | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…afa3backed Over | 46c | 1,700$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…d9e4backed Under | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…2b59backed Under | 54c | 1,450$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…e6a6backed Over | 46c | 1,374$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3418…fdd6backed Over | 46c | 1,353$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…97f1backed Under | 54c | 1,350$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7c…a593backed Over | 46c | 1,321$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03af…6298backed Over | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9643…6942backed Under | 54c | 1,250$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…5082backed Over | 46c | 1,167$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab47…80cfbacked Under | 54c | 1,063$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…2143backed Under | 54c | 1,053$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…f7c0backed Under | 54c | 1,043$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c9…16e0backed Under | 54c | 1,033$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93df…7d13backed Under | 54c | 1,023$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…0558backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…4785backed Over | 46c | 950$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…0319backed Over | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 45c | 666.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…31d4backed Over | 46c | 550$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Over | 46c | 365.76$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 55c | 305.45$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.45 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 13c | 297$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 13c | 242.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 54c | 136.85$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 55c | 134$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6054…bcedbacked Over | 46c | 121.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 45c | 114.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Under | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 55c | 81.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 55.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 55c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb8…7529backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…bc38backed Over | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. RocketsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.