NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb264f66040a967e13a4de5ebdee5fcfb0f826454b4b409a807b9d7222c1cb68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,859,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,033,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,859,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Nuggets | 32c | 515,467$164,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164,847 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Nuggets | 32c | 354,733$112,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,333.57 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Thunder | 68c | 277,154$188,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,689.16 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Thunder | 68c | 157,551$107,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,717.75 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Thunder | 68c | 147,078$99,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,300.57 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Nuggets | 31c | 136,819$42,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,268.68 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Thunder | 78c | 130,000$101,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,600 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 31c | 111,950$34,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,233.04 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 68c | 109,031$73,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,205.75 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Nuggets | 23c | 95,443$21,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,949.04 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 11c | 93,105$10,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,087.85 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder | 68c | 80,000$54,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,600 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Nuggets | 32c | 60,000$19,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,399.97 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder | 75c | 59,154$44,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,788.96 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nuggets | 9c | 54,844$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.22 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 33c | 51,170$16,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,862.82 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 68c | 40,320$27,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,899.19 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Thunder | 68c | 38,460$26,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,307.2 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Nuggets | 30c | 36,787$11,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,034.96 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Thunder | 70c | 34,314$24,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,251.06 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Thunder | 68c | 31,810$21,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,179.29 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 68c | 30,935$20,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,985.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 68c | 30,927$21,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,906.97 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Thunder | 68c | 30,372$20,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,719.05 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Nuggets | 1c | 27,240$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.92 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Thunder | 64c | 26,355$16,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,451.3 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Nuggets | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Thunder | 68c | 23,596$16,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,550.59 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Thunder | 71c | 23,210$16,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,794.38 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Nuggets | 36c | 22,012$7,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,924.47 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Nuggets | 9c | 22,000$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.19 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 75c | 21,939$16,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,525.43 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Thunder | 78c | 21,728$16,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,784.41 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3c…d637backed Nuggets | 29c | 21,700$6,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,205 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…faf1backed Thunder | 71c | 21,700$15,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,205 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 68c | 20,717$14,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,675.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 67c | 19,369$13,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,296.72 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nuggets | 1c | 19,190$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.9 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Thunder | 68c | 17,336$11,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,547.6 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Nuggets | 28c | 17,148$4,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,797 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Thunder | 69c | 16,450$11,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.5 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nuggets | 31c | 16,010$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…f13fbacked Nuggets | 32c | 15,400$4,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,927.99 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Nuggets | 32c | 15,000$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Thunder | 67c | 14,971$10,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,940.42 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Nuggets | 33c | 14,950$4,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,933.5 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Nuggets | 22c | 14,941$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287.08 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Thunder | 69c | 14,685$10,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,552.35 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Thunder | 68c | 14,329$9,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,585.28 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 69c | 14,104$9,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,338.27 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Thunder | 68c | 14,081$9,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,505.76 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Nuggets | 31c | 14,000$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,340 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Nuggets | 35c | 13,788$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,829.89 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Nuggets | 32c | 13,777$4,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,408.57 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Nuggets | 30c | 13,612$4,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,144.48 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…20a0backed Nuggets | 34c | 13,553$4,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,594.03 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…731bbacked Thunder | 71c | 13,057$9,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,786.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Nuggets | 37c | 13,000$4,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,790 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…600cbacked Nuggets | 13c | 12,974$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Thunder | 69c | 12,793$8,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.66 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c03…d894backed Thunder | 68c | 12,303$8,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,877.75 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…69a8backed Nuggets | 32c | 12,010$3,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,843.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Thunder | 70c | 12,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ca…5a06backed Nuggets | 34c | 11,765$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…9417backed Thunder | 77c | 11,432$8,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.1 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Thunder | 68c | 11,425$7,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.86 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Thunder | 64c | 11,150$7,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.99 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Thunder | 79c | 11,026$8,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.04 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Nuggets | 20c | 11,006$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.32 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Thunder | 63c | 10,705$6,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,995.42 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Thunder | 68c | 10,604$7,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.28 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nuggets | 8c | 10,586$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.52 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Nuggets | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7c…252ebacked Nuggets | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Nuggets | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Thunder | 69c | 9,898$6,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.38 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nuggets | 29c | 9,572$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Nuggets | 32c | 9,375$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Thunder | 68c | 9,306$6,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.88 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Nuggets | 32c | 9,239$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.54 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 32c | 8,851$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.43 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe194…cd47backed Thunder | 68c | 8,824$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.53 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 68c | 8,748$5,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.54 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 68c | 8,505$5,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.59 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Nuggets | 35c | 8,500$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Thunder | 65c | 8,500$5,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Thunder | 70c | 8,215$5,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.45 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Thunder | 69c | 8,098$5,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.06 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Thunder | 68c | 8,025$5,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.94 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Nuggets | 11c | 8,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Nuggets | 26c | 8,000$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.99 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed Nuggets | 27c | 7,905$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.23 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Nuggets | 27c | 7,323$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Thunder | 68c | 7,000$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…754bbacked Nuggets | 35c | 7,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…9aadbacked Thunder | 68c | 7,000$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Thunder | 69c | 6,986$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.57 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Nuggets | 32c | 6,913$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.25 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Thunder | 68c | 6,802$4,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.39 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…db04backed Thunder | 75c | 6,791$5,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.11 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Nuggetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jaylin Williams: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 32.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.